id
stringlengths 5
7
| title
stringlengths 3
300
| text
stringlengths 1
39.8k
⌀ | created_utc
float64 1.24B
1.75B
| created_datetime
stringdate 2009-05-13 12:46:31
2025-07-02 10:01:13
| author
stringlengths 4
20
| score
int64 0
39.5k
| num_comments
int64 0
9.03k
| upvote_ratio
float64 0.05
1
| flair
stringclasses 311
values | permalink
stringlengths 30
93
| url
stringlengths 18
427
| subreddit
stringclasses 22
values | company
stringclasses 3
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1kk85uk
|
How to take advantage of possible end of China Trade War?
|
What should we put in pre-market BUY LIMIT ORDERS for to take advantage of the China Trade War possiblt being over??
TSLA? AMZN? APPL? NVDA? TSMC? SOXL? TSLL?
Stocks badly impacted by China embargo will erupt if a good deal is reached.
I figure a stock like PLTR would not be a good choice since they rallied big this year because they had no China exposure.
| 1,746,989,191
|
2025-05-11 18:46:31
|
gmnotyet
| 290
| 415
| 0.82
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kk85uk/how_to_take_advantage_of_possible_end_of_china/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kk85uk/how_to_take_advantage_of_possible_end_of_china/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1khg9wn
|
Well… there goes my life savings :) AGAIN
|
Probably have lost over 55k if not more to options so far this year, just can’t seem to learn my lesson, considering I’ve lost over 100k last year between crypto and options :)
Oh! Oh… on top of everything I’m a full on gambling addict, who degens after market closes on Stake and I’m down even more there [I’m not even going try to put a figure on this strictly for my sanity’s sake]!
With that being said…. Calls on Apple and Google are loaded [35-40k of my whole portfolio] with 5/9 exp… so pray for your boy. Tomorrow will be a life turning point of my life boys, either I give this up for good or put up my house next cause I’m that good 😊
| 1,746,674,071
|
2025-05-08 03:14:31
|
SammySossa1
| 319
| 233
| 0.89
|
Loss
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1khg9wn/well_there_goes_my_life_savings_again/
|
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1khg9wn
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kh0pk8
|
Apple to add AI Search to Safari web browser in response to Google
|
Apple Inc. is “actively looking at” reshaping the Safari web browser on its devices to focus on AI-powered search engines in light of the potential collapse of its Google deal and broader industry shifts.
Eddy Cue, Apple’s senior vice president of services, made the disclosure Wednesday during his testimony in the US Justice Department’s lawsuit against Alphabet Inc. The heart of the dispute is Apple and Google’s estimated $20 billion-a-year deal that makes Google the default offering for queries in Apple’s included browser.
| 1,746,632,949
|
2025-05-07 15:49:09
|
s1n0d3utscht3k
| 161
| 75
| 0.9
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kh0pk8/apple_to_add_ai_search_to_safari_web_browser_in/
|
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-07/apple-working-to-move-to-ai-search-in-browser-amid-google-fallout
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kf0p1b
|
Is Qcom still Considered a Good Hold??
|
Many people consider qcom as a strong buy because of its potential in the AI sector, however, I feel like they have been lagging behind AMD and other chip companies for a while now. One of Qcom's biggest customers is also Apple, and Apple is notorious for switching to in house components. If they switch to in house, then I don't see how qcom could compete at all in this super competitive sector.
| 1,746,411,087
|
2025-05-05 02:11:27
|
Fearless-Cellist-245
| 10
| 29
| 0.61
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kf0p1b/is_qcom_still_considered_a_good_hold/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kf0p1b/is_qcom_still_considered_a_good_hold/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kefmyy
|
Short amd earnings?
|
Considering 24% of their buisness came from China, with all these tariffs I'm thinking it will go the same way as apple/amazon earnings.
What do yall think?
| 1,746,350,053
|
2025-05-04 09:14:13
|
Ok_Cow_7714
| 73
| 60
| 0.85
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kefmyy/short_amd_earnings/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kefmyy/short_amd_earnings/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1keejw7
|
Does Buffet have an effect on apple stock?
|
Yesterday at the Berkshire Hathaway meeting Buffet said several positive things about Apple. Saying Tim Cook probably made Berkshire more money than he did. Is this going to have an effect on apple shares? Still having some call options I hope so. What is your opinion ?
| 1,746,345,369
|
2025-05-04 07:56:09
|
BlackIceClownfish
| 102
| 38
| 0.88
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1keejw7/does_buffet_have_an_effect_on_apple_stock/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1keejw7/does_buffet_have_an_effect_on_apple_stock/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kdykg5
|
Thanks Microsoft
|
It was one of the best quick decisions I ever made in options trading. After experiencing numerous losses, this particular choice finally paid off. My portfolio had dwindled from $10,000 to just $1,500, and that was the last amount I had to invest. I sold my shares of Meta early. but Amazon and Apple didn’t go as planned, resulting in a loss of $1,000 from the profits I had gained.
| 1,746,294,034
|
2025-05-03 17:40:34
|
mokt10
| 125
| 18
| 0.93
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kdykg5/thanks_microsoft/
|
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1kdykg5
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kdpyxv
|
Future of US growth
|
US GDP was significantly pulled down from imports by companies trying to beat the tariffs. But was also lifted by significant investment. Consumer spending didn't change too much from the previous quarter. But what happens when investment dries up and consumer spending decreases?
So the assumption being that companies make major investments in the early stages of the trade war to try to appease the government, but also to set up some production in the US. But it seems many companies mostly made investments to appease the government. After the initial investments are made they need some upkeeping, and some even abandon investment in the US as they find other paths of trade (Apple didn't move to the US, they're moving to India). At the same time, consumers will eventually face the costs of tariffs, reducing their purchasing power, so we should resonably see some downturn there.
In conclusion, we might see a second quarter of low or even negative GDP growth.
Anyways, this is all just my hypothesis. What do you guys think?
| 1,746,268,574
|
2025-05-03 10:36:14
|
TowelOld743
| 76
| 91
| 0.8
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kdpyxv/future_of_us_growth/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kdpyxv/future_of_us_growth/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kcqs8m
|
This Saturday might actually give investors a 💡when Buffet tells everyone that they SOLD MORE.
|
Speculation is…
Berkshire Hathaway may continue to reduce its stock positions at the upcoming shareholder meeting on May 3, 2025.
1. Significant Stock Sales: In 2024, Berkshire sold approximately $133.2 billion in stocks, including reductions in major holdings like Apple, Bank of America, and Citigroup.
2. Record Cash Reserves: Berkshire's cash reserves have surpassed $300 billion, indicating a cautious approach to new investments amid market uncertainties.
3. Defensive Strategy Amid Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Persistent inflation risks, uncertainty around interest rate policy, trade wars, and geopolitical instability have led Berkshire to adopt a more defensive posture.
Given these factors, it's plausible that Berkshire Hathaway will continue to pare down its stock positions, especially in overvalued sectors. The company's substantial cash holdings position it well to capitalize on future market opportunities.
And then 💥. Realization to the market and might actually show how bad this economy has gotten.
No more big earnings + same old trade news + real life issues = 🌈 🐻
TLDR; buy puts for next week, next month, and next quarter.
| 1,746,154,361
|
2025-05-02 02:52:41
|
Category_Thin
| 687
| 154
| 0.88
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kcqs8m/this_saturday_might_actually_give_investors_a/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kcqs8m/this_saturday_might_actually_give_investors_a/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kciwav
|
Apple revenue tops Wall Street expectations but Services division disappoints
| null | 1,746,131,652
|
2025-05-01 20:34:12
|
Force_Hammer
| 72
| 18
| 0.94
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kciwav/apple_revenue_tops_wall_street_expectations_but/
|
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/01/apple-aapl-earnings-report-q2-2025-.html
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kcgjkk
|
India–Pakistan situation - Market impact
|
Things seem to be heating up fast between India and Pakistan.
I know a lot of U.S. companies (Apple, etc.) have been moving supply chains to India to get away from relying on China. But if this turns into a real conflict, what does that mean for those plans?
JD Vance was just in India, and it sounds like there could be some trade/tariff deals coming.
But again—does all that get put on hold if there’s war?
Also, Russia and even the Taliban (Afghanistan) are backing India after a recent terrorist attack.
This might not stay a regional thing.
Markets have been weird lately. Every time I think of moving out of gold, the market pumps. Now this adds another layer of uncertainty.
**Anyone adjusting their strategy because of this?**
**How could this impact Q2 earnings or supply chains?**
| 1,746,125,673
|
2025-05-01 18:54:33
|
geopolitics-macroman
| 0
| 41
| 0.35
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kcgjkk/indiapakistan_situation_market_impact/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kcgjkk/indiapakistan_situation_market_impact/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kcbrxs
|
Follow up on the halfchub yolo.
|
Sold 5 calls yesterday at 3:59pm, for a 2.2k gain. Lost 5k taking screenshots of the gain but that’s okay! Grabbing 10 $220 calls for 5/9 with Apple next.
| 1,746,113,882
|
2025-05-01 15:38:02
|
Prize_Investment1447
| 10
| 4
| 0.81
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kcbrxs/follow_up_on_the_halfchub_yolo/
|
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1kcbrxs
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kc9pfk
|
Nasdaq Plan Will Bring Zero-Day Option Boom Closer to Single Stocks
|
This summary is for people that can't/won't read the article:
1. **Nasdaq's Proposal**: Nasdaq plans to expand weekly expirations for options on select stocks to include Mondays and Wednesdays in addition to Fridays. This change, pending SEC approval, is expected to start trading by the first half of 2026.
2. **Expanding 0DTE Options**: This move aims to bring the popular zero-day trading boom—currently focused on major indexes like the S&P 500—to individual stocks. It will allow investors to better manage portfolios and risks.
3. **Criteria for Stocks**: Only stocks with a minimum market capitalization of $700 billion and ETFs with a net asset value above $50 billion will qualify for these additional expirations. Companies like Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and others meet these criteria.
4. **Challenges with Single-Stock Options**: Unlike index options, single-stock options are typically physically settled, adding risks for retail traders. Nasdaq proposes avoiding expirations coinciding with company earnings to reduce such risks.
5. **Market Potential**: While untested, demand for single-stock 0DTE options is expected to be high, based on strong trading volumes for single-stock options and investor enthusiasm.
| 1,746,108,683
|
2025-05-01 14:11:23
|
McFatty7
| 254
| 95
| 0.97
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kc9pfk/nasdaq_plan_will_bring_zeroday_option_boom_closer/
|
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-01/nasdaq-plan-will-bring-0dte-boom-a-step-closer-to-single-stocks
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kbwlig
|
US Ukraine mineral deal signed
|
Now what?
Link[https://apple.news/AmUgjPIm-SBSj5OU6AQ_NPg](https://apple.news/AmUgjPIm-SBSj5OU6AQ_NPg)
| 1,746,061,647
|
2025-05-01 01:07:27
|
geopolitics-macroman
| 1,081
| 357
| 0.94
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kbwlig/us_ukraine_mineral_deal_signed/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1kbwlig/us_ukraine_mineral_deal_signed/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1k4ooy7
|
Stephen Miran's idea about tariffs is not black and white as he says...(my thoughts)
|
I've read the paper 2 times to really get his points across. I think the paper is a MUST READ not because there is a lot to learn from it, but because you should be prepared what the admin thinks, so get prepared.
I want to discuss one idea from the paper, even though many topics are worth discussing:
He says tariffs are usually paid by the exporting nation (companies in that nation) only if currency is offset by the same percentage as the tariff. Example:
1 - Imported good price is $10 pre trariff ->
2 - Dollar value is up 10%, so that same good now costs $9 ->
3 - Tariff added of 10% for that good now makes it $9.9 (we call it same price basically)
So his point is that tariffs can be offset this way, so consumer pays basically the same price but $1 goes to the treasury, thus exporting nation (company) basically paid the tariff and U.S. gets additional revenue.
I think this is kind of misleading for the reason: Mathematically what he says is true, but **burden is still shared by the consumer and the exporting nation in this case**, not only by exporting nation. Consumer is still "robbed" of the opportunity to buy the good for $9 and capitalize from dollar valuation, instead he pays same price and not getting any benefit from it. I understand that possibly this revenue from tariffs will bring some of the taxes down (yet to see?), but not to the point that you would be compensated and still pay $9 for the same product.
He often gives the same example in interviews (there are couple of them) where he compares a house sale. If for example tax of real estate is up by 10%, the seller also ups the value for +10% but buyer does not want to buy, the seller has to sell the house for the original price thus he burdens the cost of the tax because of inelasticity. I think this example is comparing apples to oranges because buyer does not share burden in this case, so he makes a trick that it is the same with tariffs, when in reality consumer is still "robbed" of opportunity in the first case, and not in this case.
Now, the next point he makes is that inelasticity makes exporting nation pay the tariff because they don't have anywhere else to sell the product. Even after exporting company squeeze maximum margin just to stay in the market, part of the cost is still shared with the consumer, because consumer would never fully capitalize from squeezing margins even if price is now lower than it previously was.
Final thought, I think it is in the spectrum of who burdens the cost by how much.
All thoughts are welcomed, maybe I'm wrong, maybe I'm right, want to hear what you think of this!
| 1,745,269,644
|
2025-04-21 21:07:24
|
Foreign-Try-8983
| 31
| 112
| 0.7
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1k4ooy7/stephen_mirans_idea_about_tariffs_is_not_black/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1k4ooy7/stephen_mirans_idea_about_tariffs_is_not_black/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jypg79
|
hong kong equities may not be cheap but they are still not expensive
- (positions in hkd)
|
so follow up to the earlier post, hong kong and china markets are pushing up again today but the move is still being held together by intervention, not clean demand. hsi around 2.5% with tech names leading. hsi tech index gained close to 3%. csi300 about 0.6% and the shanghai comp around 0.9% But, the structure hasn’t really changed. behind the move is a quiet restriction from regulators. desks are saying mainland brokers were told to cap net daily selling at 50 million yuan per fund or large retail account. nothing posted publicly but it’s being enforced. broker desks have already warned accounts. if you break it, you get watched or restricted. this is not a free market bounce.
state backed funds like huijin are also active again. buybacks are being pushed. brokerages told to keep the market stable. it’s coordinated. that’s why there’s support, not because money is flowing back in naturally. so thought we had some some relief after the us paused tariffs on phones, laptops and other electronics, covering about 20 categories. that gave tech some breathing room. apple suppliers in taiwan like foxconn and quanta jumped. but trump already said chips are next and even hinted phones might still get hit. pretty sure csi semiconductors index dropped like 1% after that. market reaction is still headline driven, not trend forming.
even with all that, hong kong equities still have room. most of the names mentioned earlier have moved, but some setups still have legs if hsi holds. byd electronic (285) (as people confuse it with byd 1211) already pushed higher and looks like it could extend. xiaomi has started to tick up with still space to follow. lenovo broke early and is still holding. the bounce isn’t clean but it’s not done either. tradeable, not holdable. structure is intact for now.
| 1,744,601,208
|
2025-04-14 03:26:48
|
Boodiiii
| 81
| 23
| 0.9
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jypg79/hong_kong_equities_may_not_be_cheap_but_they_are/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jyb1am
|
Monday market crash confirmed with 2 minutes of research
|
Saturday- Trump announced exemptions cause of Apple and Microsoft. They have a bone and we have a dog in the white house. BTC up.
Sunday- They realised market may rally on Monday and forgot to buy calls.
Trump- Semi conductor tariffs are coming on Monday. Reporters- why not today?
Lutnik- Those electronics exemptions are temporary.
China- f u. Drop all those tariffs.
Thoughts?
Conflict of interest: My 47dte TSLA puts.
If market tanks, I will buy NVDA calls tomorrow.
| 1,744,560,232
|
2025-04-13 16:03:52
|
Zopiclone_BID
| 6,676
| 882
| 0.93
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jyb1am/monday_market_crash_confirmed_with_2_minutes_of/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jyb1am/monday_market_crash_confirmed_with_2_minutes_of/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jxkjbx
|
Ahem! Exemptions for Apple and Nvdia. Another rug pull?
|
https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/12/tech/trump-electronics-china-tariffs/index.html
It’s a cyclical thing of a new kind of events. Started off with meme coin, tariff , no tariff, more tariff , tariff pause , tariff exemption - what next?
Edit: NOT! the rug pull was pulled earlier than expected.
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114332337028519855
| 1,744,473,548
|
2025-04-12 15:59:08
|
moha297
| 443
| 81
| 0.94
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jxkjbx/ahem_exemptions_for_apple_and_nvdia_another_rug/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jxkjbx/ahem_exemptions_for_apple_and_nvdia_another_rug/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jvijnj
|
Biggest one-day gain for the NASDAQ since 10/13/2008 - but don't forget what happened 2 days later in 2008
|
Puts will print bigly. I am convinced there was a lot of overbuying because of misinterpretation and misreporting around the tariff pause, I expect flat trading tomorrow and huge drop on Friday. We have tariffs against China, Europe, and Canada still. There is still 10% baseline tariffs on every country (this was misreported/corrected). There is no world where apple and amazon should be bullish when we are entering a trade war with China.
Positions (been averaging down even though im down 50% today)
SPY 533P 4/16
SPY 515P 4/10
SPY 498P 4/11
AAPL 180P 5/9
TSLA 232.5P 4/11
QQQ 415P 4/14
| 1,744,237,341
|
2025-04-09 22:22:21
|
firedragonxx9832
| 5,614
| 561
| 0.97
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jvijnj/biggest_oneday_gain_for_the_nasdaq_since_10132008/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jvijnj/biggest_oneday_gain_for_the_nasdaq_since_10132008/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jvg44a
|
From $2k -> $108k trading the market swings in the past week.
|
Trying to post this again because mods said I needed to include the trades in the screenshot.
Initial deposit: $2,000 (April 3rd)
Major trades (Chronological order):
April 3rd: Buy 12 $530 SPY Put 4/4 for $924
April 4th: Sold 12 $530 SPY Put 4/4 for $22,920
April 8th: Buy 1000 $120 NVDA Call 4/11 for $3,845
April 9th: Sold 1000 $120 NVDA Call 4/11 for $79,000
Had some other options trades in there but those are the major winners. Sold most of my positions, still $20k in various calls (QQQ, AAPL) to sell tomorrow.
| 1,744,231,017
|
2025-04-09 20:36:57
|
Charlie8040
| 1,591
| 130
| 0.96
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jvg44a/from_2k_108k_trading_the_market_swings_in_the/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jve93c
|
Repost: It's all about China
|
**Mods removed this post yesterday when it had 700 upvotes, probably because it became too political. Reposting in hopes of re-sparking the discussion on this-- obviously with Trump pausing all tariffs except for China and the dip being bought, it looks like what I said would happen happened.**
**However, phase 2 is just beginning.**
DISCLAIMER: I THINK THEIR PLANS ARE 100% DISTILLED ORGANIC REGARDIUM. HOWEVER, THESE PLANS EXIST; IT ISN'T JUST THE DEATH THROES OF A DEMENTED OLD MAN. IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THEIR GOALS AND HOW THEY WANT TO ACHIEVE THEM, SO YOU DON'T GET WIPED OUT BY A SINGULAR MANIAC'S AMBITIONS.
“I believe very strongly in tariffs. America is being ripped off. We’re a debtor nation, and we have to tax, we have to tariff, we have to protect this country.”
\--Donald Trump, 1988
[Transshipment](https://china.ucsd.edu/_files/02072025-brief-identify-tariff-evasion-web.pdf) is how China bypasses US trade restrictions-- the idea is simple, just ship to an intermediate country in southeast Asia or Mexico before shipping to the United States. Since the entire goal is to evade detection, it's impossible to get direct numbers on how much Chinese originating volume comes into the U.S. in this manner, but it's estimated to be at the very least tens of billions of dollars in goods per year.
This has also been [top-of-mind from Trump's current administration](https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/02/industry-lawmakers-applaud-president-trumps-section-232-tariffs/), with realizations that the 2018 trade war did not go to the extent of their real goals because of "loopholes" and negotiation failures. So, this time around, the goal is the same-- a trade war with China, but the entire world has become collateral damage.
Their goals behind the trade war with China hasn't drastically changed from 2018:
* [Coward Nutlick has repeatedly hinted that "deindustrialization is a national security risk".](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/transcript-commerce-secretary-howard-lutnick-on-face-the-nation-with-margaret-brennan-april-6-2025/) In layman's terms, if a war ever broke out, [China would be able to pump out missiles and weapons at a faster pace.](https://go.gale.com/ps/i.do?id=GALE%7CA787225532&sid=sitemap&v=2.1&it=r&p=AONE&sw=w&userGroupName=anon%7E3a357c28&aty=open-web-entry) Peter Navarro has said that "every time you buy a good made in China, you are financing their navy in the Taiwan strait." His book Death by China (2011) also details how we are dependent on their supply chains for medical supplies, electronics, and weapons.
* Miran, senior economic advisor to Trump: [trade deficits are economic dependence.](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/04/cea-chairman-steve-miran-hudson-institute-event-remarks/) True at face value, but the dependency goes both ways. As with the fundamental theory of trading and competitive advantage goes, both sides win. U.S. industry is built off the back of Chinese supply and labor, and the Chinese have become wealthy off of the largest consumer market in the world.
So, the plan that would somewhat explain their intentions behind tariffing the world is to get other countries to come to the table, fence-off Chinese transshipping, and/or strike deals that cut off Chinese suppliers to third party countries as well. This would explain why they imposed tariffs on penguin-inhabited islands such as [Heard and McDonald Island](https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/apr/04/revealed-how-trump-tariffs-slugged-norfolk-island-and-uninhabited-heard-and-mcdonald-islands)\-- closing off loopholes. They want to hurt China while hurting ourselves, but think that we can withstand the pain more than they can. It's unclear as to whether they're right, or if this game is even worth playing, but it's definitely *a plan, even if it's a bad one,* which is better for the market than having no narrative or confidence.
What does this mean in the short term? Trump has no intention to keep unjustifiably high tariffs on everyone else *besides China.* As deals are struck, either side capitulates, it becomes clear that "liberation day" was just a second attempt at 2018 U.S. vs. China, which, to investors, is at least preferable to U.S. vs. The World (for seemingly no reason). With a narrative to cling onto and a return to (relative) normalcy, the markets can go up in the short term because of a universal instinct to "buy the dip." The markets no longer have reason to freefall panic that a literal maniac is driving the world economy to ruin; he at least has a plan, if not a half-baked one.
**\^ this was posted on 2025-04-08 2:12PM ET.**
**"TRUMP HAS NO INTENTION TO KEEP UNJUSTIFIABLY HIGH TARIFFS ON EVERYONE ELSE BESIDES CHINA" --me**
**"THE MARKETS CAN GO UP IN THE SHORT TERM BECAUSE OF A UNIVERSAL INSTINCT TO BUY THE DIP" --me**
**"TO INVESTORS, U.S. VS. CHINA IS PREFERABLE TO U.S. VS. THE WORLD" --me**
However, as the initial panic subsides, the ramifications of "reducing the trade deficit with China" will set in. Numbers like earnings, inflation, consumer spending, and GDP growth will bleed. Eventually unemployment, defaults, and bankruptcies will follow, putting the Fed in an unwinnable situation. The private sector won't want to build US factories, find alternative trading partners (who will take the opportunity to increase prices), and "reindustrialize" because the Republicans could simply lose in a few years, and the policy is reversed. Imagine spending billions in U.S., factories paying 5x in wages, only for these cheap overseas pathways to open up again. There needs to be private sector *confidence* that these policies are set in stone, which is why Trump has continually attempted to affirm that they are. But they aren't. Cost-push inflation is going to rile the peasants in the U.S. once again to chop off the heads of the incumbents, and Republicans are projected to lose bigly in 2026 and 2028.
tl;dr: Since the goal is to "Reduce the trade deficit with China," this will directly eat into profit margins of U.S. companies and the spending power of the working class, at a failed attempt to reindustrialize America. China may be hurt as well; but in this future, it may be at a cost of a popping AI bubble and a new U.S. depression.
**UPDATE AFTER TRUMP HAS PAUSED ALL TARIFFS EXCEPT FOR CHINA**
I think this is a bit of corroboration to my original theory that global tariffs was an attempt to strong-arm the rest of the world into U.S.'s side against China. If you were to get my opinion on whether this was the most intelligent or reasonable way to do it, I obviously have an endless amount of things to say. But my opinion doesn't matter; this post is simply trying to discern their ambitions, and how they will try to achieve them. Understanding the incentives behind this chaos is of supreme importance to best navigate it.
Who are these people that Trump has surrounded himself with? Navarro, Miran, Lighthizer, Kudlow, Barr, Bannon, Mnuchin, Rubio, Waltz, Helberg, Bolton, Pottinger, Wray...
Navarro refused to comply with a Jan. 6 subpoena, in 2023 was sentenced to 4 months in prison. He also promoted Lab Leak conspiracies and has had a long history of questionable policy advocacy, solely focused on how China is "ripping off the world." Trump's rhetoric on China, trade deficits, and tariffs is almost ripped straight from Navarro's various books. Lighthizer and Miran have long advocated for using high tariffs as a coercive weapon, and have had histories of downplaying the effects of retaliation on domestic industries. Some of these anti-China allies are truly focused on national security with legitimate concerns over IP theft and Chinese rapid militarization.
Are these people the originators of Trump's ideology, or did Trump select the fringe, controversial figures in economics and defense that corroborated with his worldview? It's unclear, but no matter how this unified political stance came to be, the conclusion is simple:
**Trump's administration believes that national security vs. China is the critical goal that potentially supercedes the Stock Market, domestic industrial stability, inflation, and the buying power of the average American. They are willing to destroy access to Chinese supply chains to force America to "decouple" with China.** **They don't care about Apple, Tesla, the S&P 500, etc; for one, Trump thinks that the Fed will eventually do ZIRP and infinite QE to pump the stocks once more, and that slashing 50% off of Apple is worth it as long as they find other suppliers or build domestic supply chains.**
**He believes in "short term pain," however, in a year or a few years, U.S. capital dominance will survive, after purging the "dependency" on China.**
Simply put:
AAPL, TSLA, WMT, NKE, BBY, QCOM, INTC 2026 PUTS.
However, in the short term, stocks will continue to pump as the "apocalypse cancelled; buy the dip" reflex continues over the rest of the week.
\---
**Epilogue**
Uneducated peasants gave Mao Zedong power because he was an iconoclast that claimed he could save them from a feudalistic society. When in power, he instead implemented his theory that none of his base understood.
45 million starved. The rest ate bark and dirt.
| 1,744,226,350
|
2025-04-09 19:19:10
|
semantic_finance
| 2,271
| 611
| 0.89
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jve93c/repost_its_all_about_china/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jve93c/repost_its_all_about_china/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jv8reo
|
SWEATSHOP TRADE 🇻🇳
|
[MY POSITIONS](https://preview.redd.it/i247zbziwtte1.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=fea05a19d00c7074670355a76cd252952692f542)
*TLDR : LONG the Apparel/Footwear sector. Particularly: Vans, Nike, Adidas, Puma, Lululemon, Calvin Klein, Crocs, Decker you name it.*
Few points on why I'm extremely bullish on the apparel sector as of today:
1. On talks of the reshoring of jobs, SWEATSHOPS are the last thing they would want. Someone correct me if I missed it, but I haven't heard anyone from the White House talk about bringing back the textile industry. It’s all semiconductors, autos, steel—high-tech or heavy industry. Apparel/footwear likely will end up getting a very light tariff or even a pass after Vietnam bends the knee and buy BOEING jets and treasuries.
2. Bessent’s already hinted these tariffs are the ceiling, not the floor—negotiations will bring them down. **Vietnam's Deputy Prime Minister is scheduled to talk to Bessent today**. And later-on executives from Boeing/Apple etc. Apparel/footwear’s taken a HUGE hit because Vietnam’s because these companies spent CAPEX to build manufacturing there to dodge those China tariffs. This broad based 40% tariff will end up causing US companies to pay their share.
3. On inventories, Levi’s CEO said two days ago guided next quarter’s gross margin steady. Why? Summer inventory’s are currently already in the US. **Most apparel companies have a 2-4 month lead-time before they have to reorder from Vietnam, Cambodia, or Bangladesh**. If negotiations wrap up in the coming 3-4 weeks, it’s back to business—no disruption.
4. Bond Yields Screwed the Macros. US 10-Year jumped from 3.9% to 4.4% in two days—probably smoked a few macro funds. Trump has repeatedly talked about lowing the 10Y and China retaliating isn't helping. The expedites the negotiations, it has to happen NOW or someone has to fold soon --- either the FED, US, China or the economy.
5. And the cherry on top of all is the tariffs spooked consumers into panic buying. Next quarter’s YoY numbers will look juicy. All predicated that Vietnam bend's the knee, which I bet they will for most things.
There's other things like 2026 Nov Mid-terms election (which Trump wants to declare massive victory), and massive tax-cuts and deregulation to be bullish about, but i'll leave it for another day when it comes.
Downside:
A natural calamity totally wipes humanity out, and we return back to the ocean, reuniting with nature. At least you could claim you had the balls to buy the DIP.
\*\*How I am playing this :\*\*15000 shares on VF Corp (Bracken Darrell is the man, Vans Warped Tour is back and Nettspend fucking rocks)
50 Jan 27' $15 CALLS on VF Corp (roughly 10K USD)
My call spreads targeting a 40% move by November, have yet to fill so will not add it here.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. THIS IS A CASINO. I'm JUST a INVESTOR that likes to SKATE
| 1,744,212,983
|
2025-04-09 15:36:23
|
Embarrassed-End4105
| 36
| 40
| 0.79
|
DD
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jv8reo/sweatshop_trade/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jv8reo/sweatshop_trade/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1juo0n8
|
Dow Jones will double in value in the next two years
|
Hear me out.
I will write like a true regard so everyone can understand.
- tariffs decrease buying power in US
- FED rates goes 0
- everyone is lending money like there is no tomorrow
- HYPERINFLATION
- Dollar loses value significantly
- Dow Jones hits new ATH. Microsoft, Tesla, Apple double if not tripple in value, not because the stocks increase in value, but the dollar is worthless
When?
In the next two-three years
Why do I think this will happen?
Exactly the same thing happened in turkiye in the last three years. Look at the Istanbul stock index. The rich got super rich and the middle class vanished like my toilet paper hands down the pipe.
Puts on the average American.
| 1,744,144,925
|
2025-04-08 20:42:05
|
void_pe3r
| 0
| 75
| 0.46
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1juo0n8/dow_jones_will_double_in_value_in_the_next_two/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1juo0n8/dow_jones_will_double_in_value_in_the_next_two/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jun2cs
|
Greatest opportunity since 2020: SPY P 420 @4.2
|
104% tariffs is trending on google right now. This means everybody is scared and the market is going to take a shit- so I’m continuing to buy with some cash and then hedging with naked puts as a true FD.
THEN I found this wonderful opportunity. 4/20 is coming up, and SPY $420 is very possible. AND I bought this put contract for $420.
the only issue is there’s no expiry for 4/20, so I won’t be holding this until 4/21 and selling it on 4/20 no matter what happens.
Hope your apple shorts are going well- good luck fellow tards!
| 1,744,142,545
|
2025-04-08 20:02:25
|
fucknickle
| 139
| 39
| 0.93
|
DD
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jun2cs/greatest_opportunity_since_2020_spy_p_420_42/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jrc9kn
|
This week I started trading options for the first time and made a 3k profit, then put 2k into 1DTE Apple puts yesterday. This was the result
|
I TRUSTED THE PROCESS 🙏🙏🙏
| 1,743,774,358
|
2025-04-04 13:45:58
|
-Z-3-R-0-
| 388
| 74
| 0.94
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jrc9kn/this_week_i_started_trading_options_for_the_first/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jqvgf8
|
Is aapl call gonna print
|
About $10,000 205 July call. Figured they promised $50billion in US investmenr and were exempt last time. Plus i'm down 50k from highs on owning the shares too
| 1,743,717,287
|
2025-04-03 21:54:47
|
pumpkin20222002
| 15
| 66
| 0.73
|
YOLO
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jqvgf8/is_aapl_call_gonna_print/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jqmc79
|
Riding with Apple
| null | 1,743,696,213
|
2025-04-03 16:03:33
|
Rough_Resolve_8798
| 39
| 61
| 0.88
|
YOLO
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jqmc79/riding_with_apple/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jq7x9m
|
guys look on the bright side no tariff on tendies
| null | 1,743,650,161
|
2025-04-03 03:16:01
|
Ok-Habit-8884
| 10,385
| 157
| 0.99
|
Meme
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jq7x9m/guys_look_on_the_bright_side_no_tariff_on_tendies/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jpcpua
|
Robinhood is the best stock on the market with the most upside potential.
|
Link to my YOLO: [https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jn39s8/if\_hood\_goes\_to\_100\_by\_the\_end\_of\_june\_ill\_donate/](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jn39s8/if_hood_goes_to_100_by_the_end_of_june_ill_donate/)
I didn't get to post my DD with my YOLO because I failed a ban bet. Also I forgot to put it in the post.
Last week’s gold event: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JdFjAhDP3sM&ab\_channel=Robinhood](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JdFjAhDP3sM&ab_channel=Robinhood)
TLDR: IMO Robinhood is the best stock on the market right now with a great business model and the best team and has the most upside potential, even during a market downturn.
They had 1.5 million gold subscribers at $5/month last year. Now MORE THAN DOUBLED TO 3.2 MILLION.
Robinhood has the potential to become the next trillion-dollar company. Everyone is always looking for the next stock that will have NVDA or TSLA-like growth and I have good reason to believe that Robinhood is the one. Literally a 30-bagger since they’re at $37 billion, which is NOTHING. For example, about $1 trillion flew out of Nvidia in like a month and Robinhood only needs around $55 billion more to reach $100/share. They actually have a good business model leading the great leap forward in transforming finance with a CEO that is already mainstream. Man is on CNBC last week: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpoKCzJVrU0&ab\_channel=CNBCTelevision](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpoKCzJVrU0&ab_channel=CNBCTelevision)
They are going to smash earnings again IMO. Been taking money hand over fist. They already smashed earnings last quarter.
I’d say that inclusion into the S&P 500 is on the horizon. They just missed it last quarter but I see no reason why they can’t be in this quarter with a lot of stocks tanking. And we all know what happened when TSLA was put into the S&P 500 with a similarly well-known CEO known as the Elongated Muskrat. ROCKET EMOJI.
Robinhood is overhauling everything with their services, including the use of AI. That’s right. The AI buzzword. They cap their fees at $250/year for investment advisor systems.
Cash delivery? Bruh I’m never going to an ATM again: [https://robinhood.com/us/en/banking/](https://robinhood.com/us/en/banking/)
They have 12 partner banks so FDIC insurance is $2.5 million with them instead of $250,000: [https://robinhood.com/us/en/gold/](https://robinhood.com/us/en/gold/)
Robinhood is now VENMO/Apple Pay. You can send money to people instantly: [https://robinhood.com/us/en/banking/](https://robinhood.com/us/en/banking/)
Robinhood makes money on everything. Options, crypto, and now even straight-up gambling with prediction markets. Even in a terrible market they still make money on fees and subscriptions.
I don't really care about any litigation involving prediction markets and I don't think anyone else does either. Gambling always wins.
Cathie Wood bought like $25 million recently (Now holds 5% of ARKK’s holdings, TSLA is 11% for reference) and it was given a price target of $105 last week: [https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/bernstein-maintains-robinhood-outperform-rating-105-target-93CH-3951578](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/bernstein-maintains-robinhood-outperform-rating-105-target-93CH-3951578)
IRA contribution and 401k transfer match is literally a money magnet.
People will live their entire financial lives through Robinhood. They have high-yield interest rates on uninvested cash and have a debit card. Kind of like how people use WeChat for everything.
They also have a credit card with 3% cash back on EVERYTHING (best on the market from what I’ve seen) = more money.
Great Wealth Transfer putting trillions of dollars in Millennials and Gen Z hands, going straight to RH for gambling, and especially on this sub.
Robinhood is honestly like a 7x leveraged SPY imo. Every time SPY is up 1% Robinhood is up 7%, and vice versa with the same chart pattern. SPY really only needs to go to 570 for HOOD to go to $50 from $42. $50 by the end of the week bc we will get the clarity from the big dude tomorrow.
Easy to use platform.
I am also predicting we have a face-ripping rally on liberation day because no one gives a fuck about tariffs. This is all about selling the rumor and buying the news so we all have certainty. JPOW also speaks Friday so my boy is going to pump it up.
Probably some more stuff I missed but in this shit hole of a market this is the stock I choose. Robinhood, I CHOOSE YOU!
| 1,743,557,406
|
2025-04-02 01:30:06
|
ExpressEngineering83
| 0
| 45
| 0.47
|
DD
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jpcpua/robinhood_is_the_best_stock_on_the_market_with/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jpcpua/robinhood_is_the_best_stock_on_the_market_with/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jmx1cb
|
Why are SMCI and DELL always chosen together for AI infrastructure? What’s the deal?
|
I’ve been digging into the recent AI data center plays, and something keeps bugging me.
Elon’s xAI reportedly picked both $SMCI and $DELL for its AI infrastructure. Now we’re hearing Apple is doing the same this year.
So here’s my question:
Why are they always bundling SMCI and DELL together?
If SMCI is the market leader in liquid cooling and has the bleeding-edge tech for AI servers, why not just go all-in on them?
Is this a case of:
• Dell having better enterprise logistics or support?
• Some kind of scale balancing? (SMCI = high-performance racks, Dell = standardization?)
• Risk mitigation by not going full SMCI?
• Or is there something SMCI doesn’t do well that Dell covers?
Just feels weird that the “AI Arms Race” giants are choosing both like it’s a power combo.
Any insights? Anyone with industry knowledge want to weigh in?
Not financial advice, but I’m trying to figure out how to play this. Thanks degenerates.
| 1,743,284,570
|
2025-03-29 21:42:50
|
Jungle-Beast
| 68
| 31
| 0.85
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jmx1cb/why_are_smci_and_dell_always_chosen_together_for/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jmx1cb/why_are_smci_and_dell_always_chosen_together_for/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jmm61a
|
Apple joins AI data center race, orders $1 billion in Nvidia systems
| null | 1,743,254,536
|
2025-03-29 13:22:16
|
0xonizuka
| 1,914
| 157
| 0.97
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jmm61a/apple_joins_ai_data_center_race_orders_1_billion/
|
https://www.investors.com/news/technology/apple-stock-apple-joins-ai-data-center-race/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jm85ur
|
Hard Work and Patience Pays Off
|
Lot of people on WSB treat the Market like a casino. That’s an easy way to make a quick hit but guaranteed to lose money in the long run. I apply a fundamental/technical based approach to trading. I read, listen, watch both experts and charlatans alike. I’m constantly learning.
Today it paid off in one of my better trading days ever. Mostly put options (except for NVDA and HOOD which I scooped calls on near the intraday bottom for a quick trade). Thought maybe SLV would catch up to GLD but it didn’t and I cut my losses quick on that position.
I continue to think options sellers are underestimating the implied volatility next week.
Good luck to everyone out there. If you want to succeed at this game, you have to put in the work. There are no shortcuts.
| 1,743,202,704
|
2025-03-28 22:58:24
|
CultureForsaken3762
| 36
| 47
| 0.65
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jm85ur/hard_work_and_patience_pays_off/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1jfvft3
|
Apple is reportedly losing $1 billion a year on its streaming service as churn levels increase
|
Apple's (AAPL) streaming platform is losing a reported $1 billion a year as the company faces stiff competition and a more choosy consumer.
According to a report in the Information, Apple — which just shed around $700 billion as a result of Wall Street's latest tech rout — has consistently spent over $5 billion annually to beef up its content slate since launching in 2019. That number, though, dramatically decreased to just about $500 million last year, the report said.
Apple did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's request for comment.
The update comes as many media giants have pulled back on spending in favor of profitability. More streaming platforms are cracking down on password sharers and have also bundled their respective offerings to prevent churn, or users abandoning their subscription plans.
Last year, Apple partnered with Netflix (NFLX) and Comcast's Peacock (CMCSA) to launch a new bundle dubbed StreamSaver, exclusively available to Comcast broadband internet service customers for a cost of $15 a month. The monthly price of a solo Apple TV+ subscription currently sits at $9.99, although users can bundle Apple's streaming service with other Apple-related products like Apple Arcade and Apple News+.
It's unclear whether the recent bundles are helping.
According to data compiled by subscription analytics platform Antenna, Apple's streaming service had the highest churn percentage of all the major streaming platforms, with the exclusion of Starz, with 7% of users churning out of the service during the month of February, compared to just 2% of users for Netflix and 4% of users for Disney+.
Notably, Apple has adopted a strategy different from that of its competitors. For one, its content slate is more limited, although it does boast highly acclaimed titles, including award-winning series like "Severance," "Shrinking," and "Ted Lasso." It was also the first streaming platform to take home an Oscar win for best picture (thanks to "Coda").
In total, Apple TV+ productions have earned more than 2,500 nominations and 538 wins, CEO Tim Cook said on the company's January earnings call.
Apple TV+ does not release subscriber figures, although analysts have pegged total users at anywhere from 30 million to 40 million. Compared to Netflix, which boasts over 300 million subscribers thanks to its substantial global presence, Apple TV+ does not have high penetration in emerging markets, which have become increasingly important drivers as streaming hits peak saturation levels in the US and Canada.
"Apple's streaming service never set out to be No. 1," Santosh Rao, head of research at Manhattan Venture Partners, previously told Yahoo Finance. "Apple is good at the game that they play, but it's not a mass appeal game. They want to be the creative storytellers. They're more focused."
In January, Apple reported first quarter earnings that showed all-time highs for services revenue, which includes sales from businesses like Apple TV+, along with the App Store and Apple Music. Revenue for the division climbed to $26.34 billion for the period, compared to $23.12 billion in the prior year.
| 1,742,494,342
|
2025-03-20 18:12:22
|
callsonreddit
| 1,331
| 219
| 0.97
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jfvft3/apple_is_reportedly_losing_1_billion_a_year_on/
|
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-is-reportedly-losing-1-billion-a-year-on-its-streaming-service-as-churn-levels-increase-172901811.html
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jf0b73
|
Apple ordered by EU antitrust regulators to open up to rivals
| null | 1,742,399,804
|
2025-03-19 15:56:44
|
PanMan-Dan
| 425
| 52
| 0.96
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jf0b73/apple_ordered_by_eu_antitrust_regulators_to_open/
|
https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-ordered-by-eu-antitrust-regulators-open-up-rivals-2025-03-19/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jcqwc6
|
Apple’s iPhone 17 ‘Air’ a Step Past Its ‘AI Crisis’ Toward a New Beginning of Slimmer, Port-Free Devices, Heralding an iPhone ‘New Era’
|
Apple’s upcoming iPhone 17 “Air” will foreshadow a ‘new beginning,’ a move to slimmer models without charging ports.
The company’s AI crisis will be the talk of its offsite company meeting this week, is it was last week for its all-hands-on AI and Siri development crisis meeting
Apple is also planning some of the biggest iOS and macOS redesigns in its history.
| 1,742,146,613
|
2025-03-16 17:36:53
|
s1n0d3utscht3k
| 800
| 628
| 0.9
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jcqwc6/apples_iphone_17_air_a_step_past_its_ai_crisis/
|
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-03-16/apple-iphone-17-air-foldable-iphone-details-ai-crisis-to-haunt-top-100-event-m8bl3a9c
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1jc7uj0
|
Using Ratio charts to identify opportunity
|
I made this write up for a friend who wanted to learn more about trading/investing and how to identify where to put money to work. I figured it could be of use to some of you here who don't already know.
For determining if stocks are in favor over safe haven assets I use
SPY/GLD
SPY/TLT
These represent the flow of capital and the relative performance of the stock market to gold, and to bonds. When gold and bonds are starting to outperform stocks on a longer time frame like the weekly chart it is a warning sign. And historically the start of a multi year/decade long trend. These things play out over a long time. Which is good because it gives us time to react. The other helpful indicator is XLY/XLP which is consumer discretionary vs consumer staples. Think Amazon, apple, etc. Vs walmart, proctor and gamble, etc. When consumers are tapped and cut back on discretionary spending this ratio chart will show it. Consumers have to still buy staples like food, toilet paper, etc. And so money flows to safety in these stocks as well. (Although they typically only do well for a limited time prior to crashes and don't necessarily rise in market downturns, they just fall less)
From here if we determine that safe haven assets are starting to outperform its pretty easy and simple on what to do. Move capital out of stocks and into cash, bonds, and gold. How much into each is discretionary and kinda up to you on how much risk you are willing to take on by holding risk assets vs safe havens.
If we determine that stocks are in favor over safe havens, typically during the growth phase of the business cycle and after major market/economic corrections and crashes. This happens when liquidity is pumped into the system via central banks printing money and government issuing debt. They do this to stimulate the economy, create inflation and This is the time to take on risk and buy risk assets. Through out the bullmarket you will see different sectors out perform and to identify that I use a couple different ratios.
I like QQQ/DIA to determine if the market likes growth vs value and
IWM/SPY to identify market cap outperformance.
And then you can go all the way into the nitty gritty of sectors and in any combination you can compare these names to each other or to the broad market via the SPY
XLY(discretionary)
XLP(staples)
XLV(healthcare)
XLF(financials)
XLU(utilities)
XLE(energy)
XLK(tech)
XLC( communication services)
XHB(real estate)
| 1,742,080,580
|
2025-03-15 23:16:20
|
LarryStink
| 59
| 32
| 0.85
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jc7uj0/using_ratio_charts_to_identify_opportunity/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1jc7uj0/using_ratio_charts_to_identify_opportunity/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1j9cirg
|
AI trade simply out of juice or starting to deflate?
|
The S&P 500 has had a stellar run for the past couple of years, adding roughly $19T from the ChatGPT moment (Nov '22) to the DeepSeek event (Jan '25). I ran some back of the envelope calculations and, by my estimate, at least half of that is AI-driven!
By AI-driven, I’m referring to two key contributors:
1. First, the "picks and shovels" plays in AI data centers, which contributed $4.5 trillion (24% of the S&P's gains), with NVDA leading the charge, accounting for 69% (nice) of this group's gains. While in my table I’ve focused on some of the major players in this space, it's likely I've left out many others, meaning these figures almost certainly underestimate the full impact.
2. Second, the rest of the Magnificent 7, which have benefited in various ways from the AI narrative, added an additional $5.2 trillion (27% of the S&P's gains).
Now, the big question is: Is the AI trade simply losing some juice, or are we witnessing the start of a full-blown reversal? Since the DeepSeek event, these names have collectively shed $1.3 trillion, suggesting the latter might not be easily dismissed.
What does this mean for the S&P going forward? The rest of the pack will have to pick up the slack if we are to see some gains this year, and that is without even considering the big R word.
Edit: figured out how to add the image.
https://preview.redd.it/0jsbpyg0a7oe1.png?width=903&format=png&auto=webp&s=57740fa9c64340bd5a2602381353290cf413bb2f
| 1,741,758,296
|
2025-03-12 05:44:56
|
kico_kico
| 27
| 49
| 0.77
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1j9cirg/ai_trade_simply_out_of_juice_or_starting_to/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1j9cirg/ai_trade_simply_out_of_juice_or_starting_to/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1j2u8dl
|
Last week, NVDA had the second largest one day loss for a single ticker (-$368B). Today they made the list AGAIN (-$231B).
|
Current List:
1. NVDA -$589B 01/27/25
2. NVDA -$368B 02/27/25
3. NVDA -$279B 09/04/24
4. META -$251B 02/03/22
5. **NVDA -$231B 03/03/25**
6. NVDA -$228B 01/07/25
7. NVDA -$212B 04/19/24
8. NVDA -$208B 06/24/24
9. AMZN -$206B 04/29/22
10. NVDA -$206B 07/17/24
11. ~~AAPL -$182B 09/03/20~~
Other big losses today:
* APPL -$57B
* MSFT -$77B
* AMZN -$87B
* GOOG -$75B
* META -$59B
* TSLA -$50B
What do you think? Are we just getting started? Who's next to make the list?
| 1,741,037,934
|
2025-03-03 21:38:54
|
DemBirchez
| 919
| 108
| 0.98
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1j2u8dl/last_week_nvda_had_the_second_largest_one_day/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1j2u8dl/last_week_nvda_had_the_second_largest_one_day/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1j1cd39
|
Palantir Goat with a Moat ?
|
Based on my own research I see Palantir as being similar to Apple in that once you onboard with them you need to stay in their ecosystem as the cost to change is punitive.
Like Apple it offers a premium suite of services that are not unique but their ecosystem offering is unique. In this way it has a moat.
Also, it has a massive advantage over competitors as it is B2G first and then B2B second. Also, the DOGE move is bullish as it will further its entrenchment within government systems as Musk pushes to modernize and centralize government data systems.
Prove me wrong !
Full disclosure I am long the Stock.
| 1,740,870,201
|
2025-03-01 23:03:21
|
DayThen6150
| 61
| 104
| 0.64
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1j1cd39/palantir_goat_with_a_moat/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1j1cd39/palantir_goat_with_a_moat/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1iz99y3
|
Gold Stocks
|
Everyone hates these but hear me out. Some of the big gold mining companies have been around 100 years and have assets worth more than their market cap. They all undervalue gold on their books because they have to leave some wiggle room for market fluctuation but lately it's only been going up. Several of them started scaling up operations 3-5 years ago, which is the minimum, of how long it takes to scale up in mining and they're just starting to see production increases.
They all go through periods where they spend everything they make and they go through periods where they pile cash. Which do you think they are in?
My Favoritres: $GOLD, $AEM, $FNV
Also: $NEM, $CGAU, $KGC
| 1,740,636,836
|
2025-02-27 06:13:56
|
mm_kay
| 12
| 34
| 0.7
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1iz99y3/gold_stocks/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1iz2ns1
|
Big Tech - Net Income, Operating Income, and EBITDA (updated with Nvidia earnings)
| null | 1,740,615,549
|
2025-02-27 00:19:09
|
Prudent-Corgi3793
| 268
| 90
| 0.97
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1iz2ns1/big_tech_net_income_operating_income_and_ebitda/
|
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1iz2ns1
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1iylpsv
|
HIDDEN BEHEMOTH V2: NIO
|
Hey guys!
Back at it with another DD. Going to keep it short as many can’t read complete sentences. Nailed the last few DDs so hopefully I am right again this time. I only post when I see a big opportunity.
The stock in play is **NIO**, the Chinese Premium EV Brand. Yes I know, some of you are already thinking, Chinese stocks no thanks but hear me out. To start, I moved to China for work and own a NIO ES7 and I am a firm believer.
**Pros:**
\- New addressable markets with two new brands. FIREFLY (low end consumer), On V0 (middle class consumer)
\- ON V0 is a game changer because the current model L60 and future models are priced for the mass market. \*\*They even have access to NIO’s battery swapping stations!!!\*\* This is huge because right now there is no brand that currently offers battery swapping.
\- Battery Swapping technology is what differentiate NIO from their competitors because it takes 5 minutes to change a battery and you are on your way. They just completed 1 million swaps during the two weeks from Chinese New Year. The reason why Tesla abandoned the tech is because infrastructure isn’t there/too expensive, but I can tell you it works and it works flawlessly.
\- Owns/operate the most battery charging stations in China and along highways, the Shanghai charging/swapping operations are about to turn profitable. Many EV companies use their charging stations as well.
\- Priced cheaply compared to all other EV Brands, yes because they are not selling as much but be greedy when others are fearful
\- US politics is a mess right now and in the near future, with DOGE and Trump creating a lot of uncertainties, I believe funds will move back to China as China is very proactive in getting investments back and is actually publicly protecting/enhancing their tech industry instead of beating them down like few yrs ago(check out Chinese equities)
\- Their CEO mentioned that NIO is seeking to achieve profitability in the last quarter of 2025!!
\- They will never go bankrupt as it is backed by the government, Tencent, Abu-Dhabi’s CYVN Holdings , so there is essentially zero risk of bankruptcy
**Cons:**
\- Low sales numbers relative to all other brands but I firmly believe this will change as more people recognize the utility of battery swaps
\- Lots of competition in Chinese EV market, but if they break through the mass market, there will be a huge upside
\- They still have very low sales outside China, so it is less vulnerable to tariff compared to other manufacturers, although they are expanding in Europe and have plans for Middle East.
\- Hemorrhaging cash but they aim to be profitable year end
Everything is coming together for this company. While other Chinese EV stocks went up a lot already like Xpeng and LI. They are just amazing cars, period. Don’t look at outdated review from youtube comparing apples to oranges. They are great cars. I firmly because the risk/reward for this is amazing. Losing 30% of your investment for have a potential for few baggers sounds absolutely amazing to me. It is absolutely no brainer, just look at my last DD for Palantir, I am still holding it and at a 8 bagger as of today. I put my money where my mouth is. No options for me because of the high volatility right now.
Position is 260,000 shares @ 4.63
Sorry for the long post. Good luck everyone!!
| 1,740,570,516
|
2025-02-26 11:48:36
|
1Darkhaos
| 123
| 79
| 0.87
|
DD
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1iylpsv/hidden_behemoth_v2_nio/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1is8nl9
|
Citadel/Ken Griffin boosts GOOG position by 135% to $448M
|
Citadel filed Q4 2024 13F filing on Feb 14 (http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1423053/000095012325002739/xslForm13F\_X02/primary\_doc.xml). Summary of changes below. Trimmed PLTR. Slashed NVDA, MSFT, TSLA. Boosted AMZN, META, GOOG, AAPL.
https://preview.redd.it/t4exadm76vje1.png?width=1616&format=png&auto=webp&s=b31c7e0acade9b4c8c5d59a46eea99b4cab7e234
My position in GOOG
https://preview.redd.it/hd5bjq53nvje1.png?width=2234&format=png&auto=webp&s=e2c728a9118eae1d03f42e6f566a643b0ade2e54
| 1,739,869,933
|
2025-02-18 09:12:13
|
Purple-Ad-1231
| 787
| 105
| 0.94
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1is8nl9/citadelken_griffin_boosts_goog_position_by_135_to/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1is8nl9/citadelken_griffin_boosts_goog_position_by_135_to/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1ir0k5o
|
This sector you've never touched is a 10-bagger. [DD]
|
I want to focus a sector that receives no love: Mining.
Trading at decade-lows with little investor interest, mining stocks today are like tech stocks in 2001. I'm going to show you how they have all the elements of a 10-bagger play, and how you should take advantage of the upcoming bull run
**PART 1: Qualities of a 10-Bagger**
Without overcomplicating things, a 10-bagger stock or industry can be summarized with these elements:
1. Left For Dead Prices - Prices that don't reflect the baked in value or potential growth of the company, especially compared to historic averages, since prices are typically mean-reverting.
2. Little Investor Participation - Trades that aren't crowded out by investors, muting potential future gains.
3. Ridiculous Potential - Massive margins of safety and explosive potential upside that lead to companies consistently growing their top line.
**PART 2: A Tale of Two Sectors**
https://preview.redd.it/a5aslgqpajje1.jpg?width=1341&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5045ac70d14bd4b629332bac9984ad0c845b1829
You've been a regard for investing in mining over the past \~30 years. The index rose over \~5x, and you're flat. Any active manager in Mining stocks has either been fired or full-ported into Apple at this point.
It's even more stark when you compare to tech. Over the past 30 years, the tech sector delivered \~5,000% return, dwarfing the broader market’s \~1,874%.
Investors have crowded the trade, leading to a situation where you nearly can't avoid exposure to the richly valued tech names:
https://preview.redd.it/47riv3obbjje1.jpg?width=1389&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e31b8099d02c792cbb737a2f9ee17374f99ef163
Safe to say miners aren't included in any meaningful allocation in today's indexes.
But do they have the potential to 10x from here?
**PART 3: Left for Dead Prices**
The most compelling case for a 10-bagger is being cheap. Buying Apple at 10-15 PE in the 2010's is retrospectively a no-brainer. It gives you an incredible margin of safety if you're buying growth for value prices.
Miners are cyclical companies deeply exposed to the price of the ores they mine. Whether it's copper, silver, gold, or rare metals, miners generally scale with the price of their underlying commodity.
https://preview.redd.it/670ubnytljje1.png?width=969&format=png&auto=webp&s=685e17313d2d2d33bed2d39c3733183eced31cba
For gold miners, this hasn't been the case. Despite gold roaring to highs around $2900 an ounce, the average gold miner is down over the past 20 years.
Many of these miners produce gold for less then $1000 an ounce and have been reinvesting their income into future production. Let's take a look under the hood at B2Gold $BTG
|B2Gold|Metrics|
|:-|:-|
|Total Assets|4,788,737K|
|Total Liabilities|1,599,657K|
|Book Value|\~3.2B|
|Market Cap|3.3B|
|TTM Operating Income|600Mln|
|5yr Avg Operating Income|672Mln|
|P/B|\~1X|
|P/OI|\~5X|
Wow. You're getting the company at book value today, and at a 20% income yield. It seems like it's deep value, so what are the growth prospects?
|B2Gold Company Expectations|Gold Ounces|
|:-|:-|
|2024|800K|
|2025|1Mln|
|2026|1.2Mln|
So what does this look like as far as their sales expectations? Let's see the price of gold:
https://preview.redd.it/00gmixjgnjje1.png?width=1083&format=png&auto=webp&s=f2b3030a72eb4b41b4938d400eeac334db5b28fa
Compared to the company's reported all-in-sustaining-cost of producing gold at $1,200 an ounce, the company generates about \~$1700 an ounce in cash at today's prices. Who said you needed to be a tech stock to get 50%+ margins?
So, let's take a look at their 2026 projected gold ounces produced vs. some potential prices of gold. Assuming 1.2Mln ounces produced in 2026, here is their operating income:
|Cost of Production / Gold Price|$2000|$2500|$3000|$4000|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|$1200\*|$960Mln|$1560Mln|$2160Mln|**$3360Mln**|
|$1400|$720Mln|$1320Mln|$1920Mln|$3120Mln|
|$1600|**$480Mln**|$1080Mln|$1680Mln|$2880Mln|
The company reports an AISC of $1200, but I've extrapolated this to 1,400 and 1,600 to account for worst case scenarios. Today's gold price is near $3000, but I've shown more bearish moves to $2000 an ounce to show worst case scenarios.
If you price in a 30% increase in costs and a 30% decline in gold price, the company is still trading at only **\~6X** their projected operating income.
So, an incredible margin of safety in the bear case scenario. What about a bull case scenario where costs remain the same but gold increases another 30% from here in 2026? The company will earn **3.3B** in operating income, which is the entire market capitalization. **You are potentially buying this company for 1 Forward P/E.**
The vast majority of junior gold miners have very similar fundamentals and future growth prospects. The entire industry is priced as if gold is falling +50% from here.
Similar miners are in the same boat. You don't have to look at gold. Let's take mega miner BHP Group $BHP for a ride. You're getting the company today for 5X 5 year average operating income as well, at 2X book value. Of course upside is more limited with a larger company, but the mineral diversification in BHP means that you benefit from price increases over many minerals.
**PART 4: Little Investor Participation**
Tell me this, when's the last time you saw someone shilling mining stocks on WSB? When's the last time a mining stock IPO'd on robinhood, or your friend showed you his mining tendies? There's basically zero investor interest left in the sector. It's tarnished by ESG, political risk, and just not being "sexy".
If you were an active manager following mining over the past 20 years, you lost your job. Why would anyone keep the regard that failed to beat the market for 20+ years?
https://preview.redd.it/2hl2u5drpjje1.png?width=1040&format=png&auto=webp&s=859518764be92fb4e04cfe5721935682f6d11d2b
The mining index has plummeted in comparison to its historic market participation. The pessimism is a clear setup for a multi-bagger contrarian play.
**PART 5: Ridiculous Potential**
I've already outlined an example miner for you to see the kinds of valuations present in the sector, but the Junior Miner Index ($GDXJ) is filled to the brim with similar companies. When you look at a mining industry's 20 year history on google, the chart looks like shit. But have they ever outperformed?
Mining stocks have generally been counter-cyclical: When markets fizzle out, they find their time to boom.
They surged in the Depression, mooned in the 70s inflation crisis:
https://preview.redd.it/zxc6j2nhqjje1.png?width=1034&format=png&auto=webp&s=3c32453a5afd3e8390247fd643c5191303f98714
https://preview.redd.it/c4hgv5ckqjje1.png?width=1038&format=png&auto=webp&s=b43b557c4d3cf05889c6f1a13c96c4ec86e939cd
Specifically, they are counter-cyclical with Tech, and boomed during the last tech cycle wash in 2000:
https://preview.redd.it/5berkqxrqjje1.png?width=1034&format=png&auto=webp&s=b067f3c82ff2fd8fa3d4ff135feec946d5e9f3fa
And of course, the prices of the ores they're pulling out of the ground are expected to rise as well. Inflation is ripping the price of gold and looks to stop no time soon.
Steel and iron used for building is ramping up with urbanization and economic prosperity, whereas rare earth metals are finding their space in batteries, EVs, and semiconductors.
Copper is the backbone of electrification, and every single year the world breaks the previous year's record for humans living in urban environments. Global prosperity is the true secular bull market, and metals & mining are deeply connected to global growth in general.
Nearly all metals are also hedged to the growth of emerging markets, giving any US investors some necessary global exposure.
https://preview.redd.it/yyn79l0xujje1.png?width=1129&format=png&auto=webp&s=3a5416495af3dbc9ade3ff9a80a107c34b26eb99
**PART 6: How to Play It**
Here's my takes on the best opportunities in mining:
|Opportunity|Sector|Justification|
|:-|:-|:-|
|Higher Opportunity|Individual small-cap miners ($BTG) \[Gold, Coal, Iron, Copper, ETC\]|Diving into individual names helps you avoid exposure to low quality companies in the indexes. Small caps have the best potential to scale earnings parabolically.|
||Junior Miner Index ($GDXJ)|General exposure to smallcap gold|
||Individual large-cap miners ($BHP)|While not as sensitive to price movements to the upside, large-caps are less sensitive to downside movements in the underlying commodities, and you can avoid some junk by diving into individual names|
||Metals & Mining ETFs ($PICK, $COPX)|Exposure beyond gold is great, as many of these miners across different metals have similar valuations and vary in their industry verticals.|
||Gold Miner ETF ($GDX)|General exposure to largecap gold|
|Lower Opportunity|Rare Earth Metals ($REMX)|While I think the same thesis is in tact for rare earth metal miners, their valuations trade at a substantial premium to the more "classical" miners of gold, silver, coal, iron, copper, nickel etc.|
My plays:
I'm long the following:
https://preview.redd.it/jf9rsqmn0kje1.png?width=395&format=png&auto=webp&s=8a545df7a3687358bb1ec7739aa7adaa855ec34f
https://preview.redd.it/jvotmymn0kje1.png?width=383&format=png&auto=webp&s=a67361da344478392b3d29d7d772a921158c23af
https://preview.redd.it/i1g267nn0kje1.png?width=370&format=png&auto=webp&s=db76144393fe70db03eed48e64219d606ef975ce
https://preview.redd.it/guzharmn0kje1.png?width=383&format=png&auto=webp&s=6589f635566ae9a976248ae3040f67b69c971d9f
https://preview.redd.it/tjpt8nmn0kje1.png?width=388&format=png&auto=webp&s=f877b83eb62dc762d75ab82169e86640c9d0489a
https://preview.redd.it/i99qsnmn0kje1.png?width=396&format=png&auto=webp&s=4ca153a9b85e4a477c193bf1a75f8286620179e2
https://preview.redd.it/77jsapmn0kje1.png?width=389&format=png&auto=webp&s=6767ebd76f704fdbf264ae3d3d0e4c59e816ba30
https://preview.redd.it/j72ppsmn0kje1.png?width=395&format=png&auto=webp&s=19ef0a371e8aacb273252a340a64f13e849e2ed1
Reposting with positions.
| 1,739,734,817
|
2025-02-16 19:40:17
|
Virtual_Seaweed7130
| 3,185
| 835
| 0.91
|
DD
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ir0k5o/this_sector_youve_never_touched_is_a_10bagger_dd/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ir0k5o/this_sector_youve_never_touched_is_a_10bagger_dd/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1ipchov
|
Google AI Chief says company has ‘all the ingredients’ to beat China’s DeepSeek
|
>Google’s AI chief told employees that he’s not worried about China’s DeepSeek and said the search giant has superior artificial intelligence technology, according to audio of an all-hands meeting in Paris on Wednesday.
>At the meeting, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai read aloud a question about DeepSeek, the Chinese start-up lab that roiled U.S. markets recently, when its app shot to the top of the Apple’s App Store, supplanting ChatGPT. DeepSeek released a research paper last month claiming its AI model was trained at a fraction of the cost of other leading models.
>The question, which was an AI summary of submissions from employees, asked “what lessons and implications” Google can glean from DeepSeek’s success as the company trains future models.
>Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis was called on to provide the answer.
[Full Article](https://stockflow.llc/articles/bfclj3qdoy8ih8fx693v1snu)
| 1,739,545,300
|
2025-02-14 15:01:40
|
rightlibcapitalist
| 359
| 200
| 0.9
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ipchov/google_ai_chief_says_company_has_all_the/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ipchov/google_ai_chief_says_company_has_all_the/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1inmin6
|
Magnificent Eight - Net Income Comparison
| null | 1,739,349,365
|
2025-02-12 08:36:05
|
Prudent-Corgi3793
| 4,684
| 439
| 0.97
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1inmin6/magnificent_eight_net_income_comparison/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1im2lcx
|
Rocket Lab is more than a meme stock 🚀
|
Rocket Lab (RKLB) had a great run in 2024. After hitting a quintuple bottom at $3.47 in April 2024, it broke out of a three year bear-market and rallied 690% to $27.44 last Friday, at 12.3 billion market cap. While the rocketing stock price seems too hot to touch, the stock is just getting started.
* Electron rocket has solidified its reputation in the industry. There are only three companies capable of reusable rockets: SpaceX, Rocket Lab, Blue Origin.
* Neutron is going to be the true challenger to Falcon 9, this year's maiden launch is major catalyst for the stock.
* RKLB is vertically integrated space company, capable of satellite manufacturing, rocket launch, and space system support (rocket launch contributes only 30% of the company revenue).
# Electron Rocket
The small **reusable** rocket carved a niche market out of Falcon 9. Electron cost 7.5 million (now raised to 8.5 million) per launch with 300 kg payload. Falcon 9 cost $70 million with 23 tons payload. While the cost-per-kilo is obviously worse for Electron, it is a commonly misunderstood metric. You don't buy a fraction of the rocket by multiply cost-per-kilo with your payload weight. You either buy the whole rocket, or ride-share with other passengers. Electron is like UberX, you book it at anytime, go anywhere, depart anytime, and reschedule as you wish. Falcon9 is like carpool. You wait for all the passengers to get onboard, and only leave at a time when it works for everyone.
Electron has [16 launches in 2024](https://www.rocketlabusa.com/missions/missions-launched/) with 100% success rate. Notably it launched two missions within 24 hours on Nov 24 and 25, on its **two private-owned spaceports** in New Zealand and USA. Booking an Electron rocket is easy as booking UberX for space.
[100% success rate in 2024](https://preview.redd.it/a5tu81w04aie1.png?width=1376&format=png&auto=webp&s=ebd10344389bda651c69eaf96a9849d166c76059)
[Electron Rocket standing on New Zealand launch complex](https://preview.redd.it/xz8561kb6bie1.png?width=2366&format=png&auto=webp&s=b8b1abe065538711b68b9646796c7fb0a198ed67)
# Neutron Rocket
Everyone knows about Electron at this point. If RKLB were just about Electron, it would be overvalued now. But few people understand the Neutron yet. This is a medium-lift rocket comparable to Falcon 9. When it was first announced, it was scoffed at for its dull resemblance to Falcon 9. Then something amazing happened. Neutron design morphed into a **BBC rocket – a chubby, black, sexy dildo shape**. While its competitors are still trying to clone Falcon 9, Neutron has been redesigned from first principles, and ready to shock the space industry.
>It's a rocket from 2050. – Rocket Lab CEO, Peter Beck
[The \\"unexciting\\" Falcon 9 clone](https://preview.redd.it/ys7qsv4ky9ie1.png?width=3070&format=png&auto=webp&s=3c3e00d7f7516140655f36f57d8d1ca52378cec6)
[Neutron design: before vs after](https://preview.redd.it/udf1ig5xu9ie1.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=7820434a993364e5029010fbd5d1b62d7970635c)
***Second Stage Rocket Redesign***
Unlike its competitors which stack second stage rocket on top of the first stage. The second stage rocket is placed inside the first stage. The tip of the rocket (fairing) opens up like a hippo mouth to spit out the second stage rocket. It comes with 3 advantages:
* The second stage is protected from aerodynamic forces. So the second stage doesn't have to be aerodynamic. It can be any shape you like.
* The second stage is protected by the fairings, which are permanently attached to the rocket Unlike Falcon 9 which discards the fairings, Neutron designed its fairing to be an integral part of the rocket for rapid reuse.
* Because other rockets place the second stage on top of first stage. The second stage is subject to compression force as the rocket goes up. Neutron "hangs" the second stage inside, pulling the second stage upward. What difference does this make: Neutron carbon fiber is much stronger under tension than compression. This makes the second stage much simpler and more fuel-efficient. Rocket Lab is the carbon fiber alchemist. They can 3D-print carbon fiber faster than Fed can print QE.
I took the summary from the video [Who wins the reusability race](https://youtu.be/Ynebk_71sxM?si=oIw-miQnUnPleC_I&t=480). It's an in-depth video that every RKLB investor should watch.
[Neutron \\"Hungry Hippo\\" fairing opening and releasing stage 2](https://preview.redd.it/mpgk5myz3bie1.jpg?width=1120&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe7d655fa9bb61ad031a5992ed7ff141dac5a179)
**iPhone Moment**
When Neutron hits the market, it will be the iPhone moment of Space. We have seen enough homogenous looking rockets stacking one stage on another, with more and more fuels. Neutron achieves better reusability (fairing) and fuel efficiency through radical redesign. It is built from first principle, ignoring what everyone else has been doing.
The radical redesign is like Apples "think different." This is not the only trait that reminds me of Apple. RKLB's obsession with vertical integration reminds me of how Apple obsesses with user experience from hardware to software. The clean, minimalistic design of the Electron rocket and the launch pad stands in stark contrast to other rockets which must launch with wired "ICU" life-support tower. Neutron takes one step further. It is designed to launch and land on its own, without any fancy structure on the ground.
[Clean & crisp Electron launch](https://preview.redd.it/jynjk528aaie1.png?width=1686&format=png&auto=webp&s=c5076fdba6aeec0a6d4e947def84950787b98762)
**Engineering Excellence**
The market has not priced in Neutron success. It's first flight was supposed to happen in 2024 but delayed to 2025. Delay sucks but it's not uncommon in space. But it also means catalyst is still ahead of us.
Elon Musk intentionally kept SpaceX private in order to shield it from public pressure. SpaceX can blow up rockets and burned R&D cash with abandon. Rocket Lab does not have such luxury. It is under immense pressure to deliver. Their engineering track record is stellar. Rocket Lab's Electron cost 100M R&D to get to orbit and plan to spend just 300M on Neutron. Falcon rockets cost \~2.5B in R&D (excluding Falcon heavy).
Will Neutron succeed on its first try? I don't think the stock has priced it in. Even Falcon 9 had two in-flight failures and one pre-flight failure. Few people are expecting Neutron to succeed on first try. But the possibility is not zero. Electron rocket almost entered orbit on its first launch. It was aborted due to a communication glitch on the ground, causing the operator to destroy the rocket. If their engineers keep on pushing, they might deliver the biggest surprise to rocket history.
[Neutron competitor R&D cost](https://preview.redd.it/tw8b8uon4aie1.png?width=1360&format=png&auto=webp&s=7e7c3273dc2bb35fa3726e908dd45028a0f4ca4c)
# Other DD
**Survival of the fittest:** The three year bear market hit space industry hard. The weak competitors have been shaken out. Virgin Galactic and Momentus stock prices are in the toilet. Virgin Orbit has gone bankrupt. Astra Space has been taken private after 99% stock crash. The survivors of the bear markets are the fittest.
**Peter Beck**: a humble genius workaholic. He has no college degree, got massive balls, strapped rocket engines to his bike and went full YOLO, applied to NASA, hated its bureaucracy, then quit to start his own rocket company. He was talking about how to build rocket at age 32. He's still talking about it today. He's dedicated to one thing his entire life. And at age 49, he's still full of LIFE.
[Peter Beck demonstrating the art of YOLO](https://preview.redd.it/dfol6j53odie1.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=d08c28ffb6953d3f5c60c8a6a5e1a719192dfecc)
**Political tailwind:** With Orange man in the House, Elon Musk as space cheerleader, and Nasa new chief Jared Isaacman who likes Rocket Lab, we are entering a very favorable 4-year term for the space industry.
**About SpaceX**: SpaceX is unquestionably the king of space. I can only say, space is BIG. It's more than enough for one company to thrive. The political detachment of RKLB is an advantage over SpaceX, as Elon's enemies are going to SpaceX a hard time sooner or later..
**Cathie Wood** sold 70,252 shares of RKLB in ARKQ and ARKX fund. What can I say? 🚀
**Jim Cramer** does NOT recommend buying. On Nov 24 last year: "'It's Not A Bad Company By Any Means, But It Is Up 305%'.". The stock was $24 back then. It went up 38% to hit all time high $33.34 on Jan 24, and has corrected nearly 20% since then. 🚀
**Investor community:** r/RKLB dip buyers are in no rush to cash out. Most of them are long term HOLDers. They are really nice people and they hate wsb fomo. They don't want RKLB to be a meme stock, but who can stop the rocket when it decides to go up? 🚀
**Technical analysis**: I have never seen a stock battling major resistance so many time so hard. Since January, RKLB has challenged and rejected by $30 eight times, each time with higher lows. A weak-ass stock doesn't challenge major resistance so rigorously. While it has been frustrating for bulls, the stronger the resistance, the stronger the support it becomes after break out.
# Price Target
With SpaceX valued at 350 billion in **private market**, Rocket Lab 12.3 billion market cap is chump change. I expect Rocket Lab to deliver Neutron, and continue its track record of engineering excellence. **A conservative 1/10 valuation of SpaceX would place RKLB at 35 billion, or $78 per share.** But I expect the share price to go much higher than that after Neutron hit the market and everyone realizes what a genius 🚀 it is.
Bears can bash me with their price-to-sales ratio and other financial metrics. That's not how you price new technology, trend, and sentiment 🚀🚀🚀. Just because it's up 700% from rock bottom doesn't mean it's too late. Good stocks go up and they keep going up. Get used to averaging up.
# Position
Brokerage account: 5000 shares, 10 leap spread strike $15/$50 expiring Jan 2026
https://preview.redd.it/dsdsi8dm8aie1.png?width=3234&format=png&auto=webp&s=d5e7414f73b1db732adc437c9b917a33a79f340a
IRA 1: 2000 shares
https://preview.redd.it/cpqewgep8aie1.png?width=3282&format=png&auto=webp&s=3802a8e869aac3983bf2153c6690bc38b0df35ee
IRA 2: 908 shares
https://preview.redd.it/oyqknxg78aie1.png?width=3208&format=png&auto=webp&s=bf02b1181afe48d91e694788ef4d06f3b0557c71
Merchandise: poster, bottle, T-shirt
https://preview.redd.it/ol9g97658aie1.png?width=1358&format=png&auto=webp&s=6bb6c9c62f99a01f04625133970eadb7d98d511d
| 1,739,181,183
|
2025-02-10 09:53:03
|
optionseller
| 2,048
| 308
| 0.94
|
DD
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1im2lcx/rocket_lab_is_more_than_a_meme_stock/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1im2lcx/rocket_lab_is_more_than_a_meme_stock/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1ik4f1d
|
SuperBowl ads have replaced the shoe shine boy stock tips as sign of peak bubble in an over-hyped market sectors.
|
First came the Apple "Big Brother" commercial. Steve Jobs was fired one year later. Next came the dot-com commercials. Then dot bust wiped all the johnny-come-lately's. Next was Blockchain/Hype coins. Tom Brady, Matt Damon and Larry David won't let me down. FISCAL WIPEOUT.
This year it is A.I.. I'm guessing out of the 90 SuperBowl commercials aired Sunday, 40+ will mention A.I. Whether it's Matthew McConaughey schilling for Salesforce's new A.I. Or Automobile companies pitching A.I. added value to their cars. Or nonsense not unlike the blockchain Tea company from years ago. "See how Doritos will get you fewer broken chips in a bag and more crunch using A.I."
TLDR: 40 is the over/under for name dropping phrase A.I. in Superbowl commericals. If it's over 40. It's over, I'm calling top. Sell your pure A.I. plays and QQQ this week AFTER the lemmings jump on.
| 1,738,959,082
|
2025-02-07 20:11:22
|
B00LEAN_RADLEY
| 647
| 84
| 0.96
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ik4f1d/superbowl_ads_have_replaced_the_shoe_shine_boy/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ik4f1d/superbowl_ads_have_replaced_the_shoe_shine_boy/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1ijy4gt
|
Magnificent 7
| null | 1,738,943,541
|
2025-02-07 15:52:21
|
0mica0
| 4,042
| 156
| 0.98
|
Meme
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ijy4gt/magnificent_7/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1ijpgex
|
Magnificent 7 - Valuation, Growth, and Margins
|
- P/E Ratio is trailing twelve months (TTM) as of 2/6/25 market close.
- Earnings Growth (%) is based on year-over-year growth of TTM net income.
- Net profit margin based on TTM is shown in parentheses and proportional to width of company logo.
- Based on 2024 Q4 earnings reports, except for Nvidia, which is based on 2024 Q3, as it hasn't reported yet.
- Horizontal and vertical axes are extended to include all 7 stocks, including Tesla as an outlier in the bottom right corner.
- Data is obtained from Macrotrends for each company, except for Alphabet and Amazon, where they haven't updated information yet. For [Alphabet](https://abc.xyz/assets/a3/91/6d1950c148fa84c7d699abe05284/2024q4-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf) and [Amazon](https://press.aboutamazon.com/2025/2/amazon-com-announces-fourth-quarter-results), I calculated from most recent earnings reports.
- P/E ratio is obtained from iOS Stocks app, as of 2/6/25 market close.
| 1,738,912,772
|
2025-02-07 07:19:32
|
Prudent-Corgi3793
| 826
| 140
| 0.96
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ijpgex/magnificent_7_valuation_growth_and_margins/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1ii5tm1
|
China Weighs Probe Into Apple’s App Store Fees, Practices
| null | 1,738,745,388
|
2025-02-05 08:49:48
|
jeeeeezik
| 51
| 14
| 0.86
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ii5tm1/china_weighs_probe_into_apples_app_store_fees/
|
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-05/china-weighs-investigating-apple-over-app-store-policies-fees-including-30-cut
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1ihwjjs
|
Long term AAPL gains
|
LTBH never fails gents.
| 1,738,713,589
|
2025-02-04 23:59:49
|
ViolinistDirect9878
| 22
| 8
| 0.77
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ihwjjs/long_term_aapl_gains/
|
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1ihwjjs
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1iga6kw
|
You all are overlooking a giant opportunity—Google!
|
In the fiscal year 2024 Google’s net profit was more than Apple. Google‘s revenue grew double digit while Apple was below 5%. It is the only AI company that is vertically integrated - from chips to compute to distribution. If TikTok didn’t get banned, there is no chance in hell that US is breaking Google’s Monopoly.
It behaves like a mature company. The stock isn’t as volatile as Meta. The CEO doesn’t abruptly change plans and plunge billions of dollars into random personal projects.
It is the only company that has self driving cabs running for probably almost 2 years now in multiple cities without any major issue . And let me be clear there is no second option till date. Every other company is just training or experimenting. A big assumption is that Elmo will change regulation to benefit from it for their Robo taxi operation, but the regulation isn’t what is stopping Tesla from becoming a robot taxi company they haven’t proven their tech yet.
Yes, AI might be something that could be disrupting or changing a lot of Google’s original business. But it’s not like their AI is completely shitty. It’s still amongst the top and they have an ecosystem which can easily leverage this. I suspect Apple losing out on the market because of Apple Intelligence being subpar. Google will end up creating a personal AI because of the amount of personal data it has from all of us. No other company can do that because they just don’t have access to all of this.
Googles search business was still growing at 10% per year. Even if the number of searches go down because people start using AI, we haven’t seen any meaningful difference in Google usage so in the worst case, I would just assume that this business isn’t growing for my calculation. But its AI would still accelerate Google cloud and YouTube. And the advertisers are not really going to AI company because they haven’t figured out their business yet and for the time being it’s going to be like a subscription based business.
Apple and Google are still going to benefit because of their ecosystem. It makes harder for anyone to leave them. This hasn’t historically existed in my opinion when we look at other companies like yahoo or IBM.
And the cherry on top is, it’s the most undervalued big tech right now.
| 1,738,536,802
|
2025-02-02 22:53:22
|
et_tu_bro
| 585
| 247
| 0.87
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1iga6kw/you_all_are_overlooking_a_giant_opportunitygoogle/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1iexrbs
|
3.5k gains TSLA
|
Why do I always do this with 1k but whenever I put anything over that i get fucked :(
| 1,738,381,823
|
2025-02-01 03:50:23
|
willsandoval03
| 27
| 6
| 0.72
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1iexrbs/35k_gains_tsla/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1ienaeo
|
Average WSB user making decisions this week
| null | 1,738,352,372
|
2025-01-31 19:39:32
|
TheSalmoony
| 1,513
| 70
| 0.97
|
Meme
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ienaeo/average_wsb_user_making_decisions_this_week/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1idys6e
|
Apple misses on iPhone revenue, sees 11% drop in China sales
| null | 1,738,274,361
|
2025-01-30 21:59:21
|
karoelchi
| 1,541
| 236
| 0.96
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1idys6e/apple_misses_on_iphone_revenue_sees_11_drop_in/
|
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/30/apple-aapl-q1-earnings-2025.html
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1idms3t
|
QQQ up with trash Q1 estimates - puts at open?
|
Pulled out of the market yesterday. But a few interesting observations - everybody missed Q1 top line forecasts on growth.
Meta and Tesla crashed on earnings drop due to missing Q1 forecasts before recovering. Microsoft crashed after Q1 forecast released on earnings call.
Microsoft hinted "data center computing" execution driving capacity constraints through Q1, mirroring reports of Blackwell chips overheating earlier this year.
Not surprisingly, Deepseek inference cost reduction implications due to MOE approach yet to be factored in; capex estimates seem to be in line with end of year plans.
Apple on deck today. Profitability expected to be good due to efficiency in production, but Q1 forecasted top line also expected to be trash due to China and Apple intelligence failing.
Still a believer in big tech, but current multiples are historically high with interest rates still near historic highs in the near future which implies expectations of meteoric growth. There seems to be hell of a lot of risk in the market for big bets that won't play out for at least 6 months.
If this pump holds up: QQQ 2/14 520P
To be clear, not all bad news. Killer profitability from Meta, and Musk did a masterpiece on painting the future of FSD and Optimus sooner than we thought, but that's what Musk does. And Netflix crushed it. And I'm a believer that Jevons paradox will eventually play out, just not immediately for Q1.
| 1,738,243,200
|
2025-01-30 13:20:00
|
StrangeRemark
| 40
| 71
| 0.77
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1idms3t/qqq_up_with_trash_q1_estimates_puts_at_open/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1idms3t/qqq_up_with_trash_q1_estimates_puts_at_open/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1idh0eb
|
PUTS ON $AAPL
|
I’m either a full regard to DCA my puts and full send my gains from shorting SPY on Monday with the Canalys report sheet but apple is heavily overvalued. Sales are down, VR had been a flop, AI wasn’t released with the 16, iOS 18 news mishap, and most importantly, they’ve lost serious market share in mainland China.
The latter is the main driving force, with possible tariffs on the horizon, minimal innovation, and minimal growth anticipated, I could see apple retracing back to its
200 MA ~$220.
| 1,738,219,820
|
2025-01-30 06:50:20
|
Bust21
| 340
| 374
| 0.91
|
YOLO
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1idh0eb/puts_on_aapl/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1ick5br
|
Apple and SpaceX Link Up to Support Starlink Satellite Network on iPhones, Short $ASTS in size
| null | 1,738,119,807
|
2025-01-29 03:03:27
|
ishiboy
| 159
| 192
| 0.76
|
Discussion
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ick5br/apple_and_spacex_link_up_to_support_starlink/
|
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-29/apple-and-spacex-link-up-to-support-starlink-satellite-network-on-iphones
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1icby6f
|
$NVDA $12k short
|
NVDA crash has nothing to do with deepseek
Deepseek is actually only the catalyst and not the cause. It's the straw that broke the camels back. When is the last time you saw a public company in the top 10 valuation in sp500 have a net margin of over 50%? Never.
Also the growth projection that is priced it has 2 assumptions:
1. Net margin of 50% (gross margin of over 80%) going forward.
2. The rate of purchase will increase. Not only will people need to keep buying, they will need to buy more than last year, which saw companies fomo into datacenters.
It's not that deepseek will cause companies to just stop buying GPUs. It's that companies are not going to buy exponentially more GPUs indefinitely. Especially when they've left so much on the table in terms of software optimizations.
Even if companies still fomo hard into GPUs and datacenters at the same rate as 2024, NVDA stock will fall, because there's no additional growth.
If people buy more, but the margins get tighter as apple, meta, google come out with their own chips or tpus, Nividia stock will fall.
If sales go down and margins get tighter, it's doomsday for NVDA stock. Like -50%+ type of collapse
| 1,738,097,447
|
2025-01-28 20:50:47
|
Mindless_Ad_8215
| 26
| 67
| 0.79
|
YOLO
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1icby6f/nvda_12k_short/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1iblv26
|
Nvidia’s $590 Billion DeepSeek Rout Is Largest in Market History
|
ALTERNATIVE SOURCE — Bloomberg: Nvidia Corp.’s plunge, fueled by investor concern about Chinese artificial-intelligence startup DeepSeek, erased a record amount of stock-market value from the world’s largest company.
Nvidia shares tumbled 17% Monday, the biggest drop since March 2020, erasing $589 billion from the company’s market capitalization. That eclipsed the previous record — a 9% drop in September that wiped out about $279 billion in value — and was the biggest in US stock-market history.
The drop rippled through the rest of the market due to how much weight Nvidia has in major indexes. Including Monday’s slump, Nvidia selloffs have caused eight of the top ten biggest one-day drops in the S&P 500 Index, based on market value, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The S&P 500 fell 1.5% Monday and the Nasdaq 100 tumbled nearly 3%.
The semiconductor maker led a broader selloff in technology stocks after DeepSeek’s low-cost approach reignited concerns that big US companies have poured too much money into developing artificial intelligence. The Chinese firm appears to provide a comparable performance at a fraction of the price.
The latest AI model of DeepSeek, released last week, is widely seen as competitive with those of OpenAI and Meta Platforms Inc. The open-sourced product was founded by quant-fund chief Liang Wenfeng and is now at the top of Apple Inc.’s App Store rankings.
“Concerns have immediately emerged that it could be a disruptor to the current AI business model, which relies on high end chips and extensive computing power and hence energy,” Jefferies analysts said in a note to clients.
Nvidia has been the biggest beneficiary of the influx in spending on AI because they design semiconductors used in the technology. While that heavy spending looks poised to continue, investors may grow wary of rewarding companies that aren’t showing a sufficient return on the investment.
Meta announced plans on Friday to boost capital expenditures on AI projects this year by about half to as much as $65 billion, sending its shares to a record high. That came on the heels of OpenAI, SoftBank Group Corp. and Oracle Corp. announcing a $100 billion joint venture called Stargate to build out data centers and AI infrastructure projects around the US.
In a bid to stall China’s progress in AI, the US has banned the export of advanced semiconductor technologies to the country and is limiting sales of advanced Nvidia AI chips to others. But DeepSeek’s progress suggests Chinese AI engineers have found a way to work around the export bans, focusing on greater efficiency with limited resources.
Nvidia said in a statement Monday that DeepSeek’s model is an “excellent AI advancement” and indicated that the Chinese company didn’t violate US restrictions that limit access to advanced US chips in creating its technology. It also added that inference, or the work of running AI models, requires “requires significant numbers of Nvidia GPUs and high-performance networking.”
| 1,738,016,287
|
2025-01-27 22:18:07
|
s1n0d3utscht3k
| 1,175
| 191
| 0.97
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1iblv26/nvidias_590_billion_deepseek_rout_is_largest_in/
|
https://www.reuters.com/technology/chinas-deepseek-sets-off-ai-market-rout-2025-01-27/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1i8kpxn
|
Sold 130k Jan calls and made it out green
|
I did move the TSLA & COIN calls to Feb after the 2024 Q4 relea$es.
I want to say it’s pretty stupid to trade dear date TLT options, will buy shares instead.
And what’s up with GOOG’s drop? The only news I can find is British are investigating GOOG and APPL. And whats up with them “investigating” tech companies all through the year? Maybe IT IS after all another form of tax as Trump said.
| 1,737,684,705
|
2025-01-24 02:11:45
|
hanloose
| 43
| 5
| 0.92
|
Gain
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i8kpxn/sold_130k_jan_calls_and_made_it_out_green/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
|
1i6vv7p
|
NVIDIA takes the crown from Apple as most valuable company
| null | 1,737,499,972
|
2025-01-21 22:52:52
|
KnowLoitering
| 2,630
| 95
| 0.97
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i6vv7p/nvidia_takes_the_crown_from_apple_as_most/
|
https://qz.com/nvidia-most-valuable-company-world-apple-iphone-stock-1851744066
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1i6v4hc
|
🚀 SOC: Trump's Executive Order Just Turned California Into The Greatest Regulatory Arbitrage Play of 2025 - A Deep F*cking Value Analysis
|
**TLDR: President just declared SOC's regulatory problems a national emergency. 646M barrels of oil ready to pump. Trading at 1/5 of peer value. CEO traded his private jet for shares. Shorts are about to learn what federal preemption means.**
**THE SABLE ORIGIN STORY** 📚 Picture this: It's 2021, and some absolute chads see something in California that would make Michael Burry proud. They look at the most anti-oil state in America and say "let's buy Exxon's shutdown oil fields."
**What They Bought:**
* Santa Ynez Unit: Three massive offshore platforms
* Las Flores Canyon Processing Facility (where oil goes brrr)
* Pipelines that gave California PTSD in 2015
* Previous production: 671 MILLION barrels (1981-2015)
**The Deal Structure (This Is Where It Gets Spicy):**
* Bought from ExxonMobil (yes, that Exxon)
* Must restart production by January 2026
* If they fail, Exxon can take it back
* If they succeed, money printer goes brrr
**The Assets:**
* 646 million barrels of oil equivalent
* 86% oil (the good stuff)
* 13% natural gas
* 1% stuff nobody cares about
**THE NUCLEAR BOMB TRUMP JUST DROPPED 💣 Yesterday, Trump signed the most aggressive energy executive order I've ever seen. This isn't your regular "save the polar bears" BS. This is the federal government going full send on California regulators.**
Just when you thought this setup couldn't get any more interesting, **Phil fucking Mickelson** is in the stock too.
\--
Listen up degenerates, because I've found something so beautiful it would make Michael Burry cry. This isn't your regular oil moonshot - this is the kind of deep value play that usually gets snatched up by Private Equity before retail ever sees it.
First, let me explain what the fuck SOC even is, because this backstory is important. Back in 2021, a group of oil industry veterans pulled off what might be the biggest chad move in energy: they bought ExxonMobil's shutdown California oil fields for pocket change. Not some speculative drilling rights - we're talking about three massive offshore platforms that were pumping 671 MILLION barrels of oil from 1981 to 2015.
Why did these money printers stop? In 2015, one of their pipelines had an oopsie that made California regulators lose their minds. Everything got shut down, and Exxon, tired of dealing with California's bs, basically said "fuck it" and sold the whole thing to these guys who became Sable Offshore. They gave them a loan, and said here you go.
Here's where it gets interesting. The deal was structured like a 4D chess move: Sable got the assets for almost nothing upfront, BUT they have to restart production by January 2026 or Exxon can take everything back. Everyone thought they were fucked because California's regulatory process moves slower than your wife's boyfriend on date night.
But yesterday, something magical happened. **Trump signed an executive order** that's basically a tactical nuke aimed directly at California regulators. And this isn't your regular executive order about protecting endangered snails - this is the federal government going full "fuck your permits" mode.
**Let me explain why this order changes everything. When Trump declared a national energy emergency yesterday, he didn't just sign some weak 'pretty please approve permits faster' bullshit. He activated three specific legal powers that turn SOC from 'maybe someday' to 'holy shit this is happening':**
1. **The Defense Production Act** \- If you don't know what this is, it's the same law they used to force companies to make ventilators during COVID. Except now, instead of ventilators, they're saying SOC's oil is critical to national defense. Think about that. Once your oil field becomes a military strategic asset, California's permits become as relevant as your wife's boyfriend's opinion on your investment strategy.
2. **Federal Preemption Powers** \- The order specifically calls out California's "dangerous State and local policies" as a threat to national security. This isn't just fancy legal talk. Remember the Millennium Pipeline case in 2006? New York tried to block a natural gas pipeline, and the feds just said "nah" and built it anyway. This order gives SOC the same power, but on steroids because now it's a declared national emergency.
3. **Military Construction Authority** \- This is the cherry on top. The order lets the Department of Defense declare infrastructure as critical to national security. Once that happens, SOC's pipelines aren't oil pipelines anymore - they're strategic defense assets. Game over.
But here's where it gets really spicy. While the market is still trying to figure out what this means, the CEO, Jim Flores, already showed us he knows exactly what's coming. In October, this absolute chad traded his private jet - yes, his PRIVATE JET - for 600,000 more shares. When's the last time you saw a CEO give up his jet to buy more stock? This isn't some bullshit insider buying where they grab a few shares for show. This is "I believe in this so much I'll fly Spirit Airlines" level conviction.
**Now let's talk numbers, because this is where your smooth brain might actually form a wrinkle. SOC is currently trading at $26, which values their oil at $4.87 per barrel. Meanwhile, every other comparable company trades at $26 per barrel. For you math-challenged apes, that means SOC is trading at ONE-FIFTH of what it should be worth, just because some California bureaucrats are mad.**
But wait, it gets better. **There are 7,080,000 shares short**. The same smooth brains who thought betting against American oil during a national energy emergency was a good idea. Meanwhile, insiders own 14.30% and institutions own 26.19% of the float. And these aren't day-trading paper hands - these are long-term holders who actually read 10-Ks and understand what's about to happen.
Let me explain why the courts don't matter here, because this is where the genius of SOC's position comes in. The executive order isn't just some vague policy statement - it creates immediate emergency powers that work NOW, while any legal challenges would take years to resolve. By the time any court case gets serious, the oil will already be flowing.
Think about how the timeline works: SOC has until January 2026 to restart production. Court cases about federal emergency powers typically take 2-3 years minimum to reach any serious resolution. You see where this is going? The feds can start overriding California tomorrow, and by the time any judge gets involved, SOC will already be printing money.
And this isn't even considering the national security angle. **Courts have historically bent the knee when it comes to national security declarations**. The executive order specifically frames California's regulatory system as a threat to national security.
**But here's the part that makes this a truly asymmetric bet: SOC doesn't even need to win every regulatory fight. They just need to get their existing infrastructure back online. We're not talking about building new oil platforms here. Everything already exists - the platforms, the processing facility, the pipelines. They just need to fix some pipes and flip the switch.**
Let's talk about how fucking stupid the current valuation is. SOC is sitting on 646 MILLION barrels of oil. At current prices around $80/barrel, that's $51.7 BILLION worth of oil. Yet the entire company is valued at $2.33B. Yes, you read that right. The market is pricing this like the oil will never flow.
'But what if oil prices drop?' Even at $40/barrel, this thing prints money. The infrastructure is already built. The wells are already drilled. This isn't some speculative play where they need to find oil - they already have it. They just need regulatory permission to turn it back on.
**Now let's talk about the short squeeze potential, because it's juicier than your wife's boyfriend's gains. There are 7,080,000 shares short. These 🤡 are literally betting that:**
1. The federal government won't enforce its own emergency order
2. California will successfully fight the Defense Production Act
3. Courts will move faster than SOC's restart timeline
4. The CEO traded his private jet for shares because he's stupid
Here's why the shorts are about to learn about federal preemption the hard way: The executive order requires agencies to report on their emergency actions every 30 days. That means we're about to get a constant stream of catalysts as federal agencies start steamrolling state regulators.
**Risk/Reward? Let's break it down:** Downside: SOC completely fumbles the greatest regulatory gift in history and loses everything to Exxon in 2026. You lose your investment but keep a great story about that time the President declared a national emergency to help a stock you owned.
**Upside:** SOC uses federal power to restart production, trades up to peer valuations (5x), and potentially squeezes higher as shorts realize they bet against oil during an energy emergency.
**Positions or Ban:** Balls deep with 6000 shares, and more options in my wife's account.
https://preview.redd.it/rmdxm4vt8fee1.png?width=459&format=png&auto=webp&s=1798b57cc569564f0edffdc8e71c7bf96c2cca45
\-
\*Not financial advice. I just think when the President declares your regulatory problems a national emergency, something interesting might happen to your stock price.
P.S.: Yes, these are REAL oil fields that were ACTUALLY producing until 2015. This isn't some penny stock scam. This is boomer-grade assets with WSB-grade catalysts.
P.S.: For those asking about precedent - Secretary of Commerce overrode state objections in Millennium Pipeline case. This executive order is that case on steroids.
\--
EDIT FORGOT TO MENTION.
**LA'S RECONSTRUCTION: WHY OIL DEMAND IS ABOUT TO GO PARABOLIC**
Rebuilding 12,300 destroyed structures is about to create massive oil demand that nobody's pricing in yet. This isn't just about construction - it's about the entire supply chain of rebuilding a major city.
**Think about what reconstruction requires: Diesel for thousands of construction vehicles and heavy equipment. Every bulldozer, crane, and dump truck runs on diesel. They'll be running 24/7 for months or years**.
Asphalt for roads and driveways that melted or got destroyed by heavy equipment. Asphalt is literally made from oil. Those 12,300 structures? Each one needs new access roads and driveways.
Plastics for everything from new plumbing to electrical conduits to insulation. Modern construction is basically impossible without petroleum products. Each rebuilt house needs thousands of pounds of plastic materials.
Transportation fuel for bringing in construction materials. Everything from lumber to steel to concrete has to be trucked in. The supply chain impact is massive.
Here's why this matters for SOC: California refineries are already running full tilt importing oil by tanker from overseas. Now they need to supply fuel for the biggest reconstruction effort in state history. And guess what sits idle just off their coast? **SOC's platforms that could supply that oil under U.S. environmental standards instead of importing it from Saudi Arabia.**
**The market hasn't priced this in yet because everyone's focused on the destruction rather than the reconstruction. But Trump's team gets it - that's why the executive order specifically targets West Coast energy infrastructure. They understand that rebuilding LA requires energy security.**
**EDIT**.
Here's my X profile. [https://x.com/JasonStrom84409](https://x.com/JasonStrom84409)
I've been following this stock for a minute, doing deep due diligence.
\---
**UPDATE**
Around 1-2 months ago I went to $SOC's HQ and did some sleuthing.
Here are pics. My D.D. is real.
https://preview.redd.it/ewhjtzdgqkee1.png?width=626&format=png&auto=webp&s=6dae3331f4d6413b46996dd824c3cb6cef0010f8
\---
**1-22 update**
SOC-TARDS! I'm still here.
https://preview.redd.it/731u8g3qhmee1.png?width=603&format=png&auto=webp&s=0de5591f48e0ead515583faf2a25553422d4a292
**EDIT**
Someone asked what my position cost is.
**-> I have 4-5 different accounts (remember, my wife runs the show - i'm just a peon), and she needs money for all her boyfriends.**
Here's 1 account, with a position in it.
I've got a few more. You get the point...right?
https://preview.redd.it/6w5f69mqdnee1.png?width=1524&format=png&auto=webp&s=1d1a4d48165cd774d47271946e51beed3cb20254
\-
# UPDATE
President Trump visited California In the last 48 hours.
Background: California Coastal Commission has been a thorn in $SOC's side.
Trump visited California and said - we're going to override the California Coastal Commission. The President, bluntly said this: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KOCIGGzelk](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KOCIGGzelk) (Around 2 minutes in, start at 2:00)
If he's willing to do this so people can rebuild their homes; what do you think he will do in order to restart Sable - because of National Emergency powers he enacted - for his **National Energy Emergency.**
**READ THE SIGNS BOYS. WE ARE ALL OIL BARONS IN THE MAKING.**
# UPDATE - 2-5
I want to do a long write up about my thoughts. I'm a bit dead from the day. But I promised something.
Here's my buys today.
https://preview.redd.it/wisef7jwjfhe1.png?width=2136&format=png&auto=webp&s=ec0385598e2d0c11cf325af8dfac1264abfdeb65
# UPDATE - 2-13
https://preview.redd.it/ilbd3f6zpxie1.png?width=936&format=png&auto=webp&s=8bf4da30146a45bfdfe633daa20186043777e2d9
| 1,737,498,072
|
2025-01-21 22:21:12
|
Zooomr
| 1,545
| 940
| 0.9
|
YOLO
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i6v4hc/soc_trumps_executive_order_just_turned_california/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i6v4hc/soc_trumps_executive_order_just_turned_california/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1i6s804
|
Meta Plans Oakley-Branded Glasses, Explores Watches and Earbuds
|
> Meta Platforms Inc. is working on upgrades to its popular smart glasses and is exploring new wearable devices such as watches and camera-equipped earbuds, aiming to embed its artificial intelligence features into more products.
> The effort includes developing Oakley-branded smart glasses for athletes this year, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Meta’s devices group, Reality Labs, also plans to release new high-end glasses with a built-in display in 2025, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the initiatives haven’t been announced.
> Other products underway would compete with Apple Inc.’s smartwatch and AirPods, the people said. And the company is making headway on its first true augmented reality product — a holy grail for the tech industry — for release around 2027. A representative for Meta, which owns Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, declined to comment on the company’s plans.
> The flurry of products is part of a bid to reposition Meta as an AI innovator, with a focus on hardware that can usher in the next era of computing. The social media company has spent tens of billions on augmented and virtual reality development and launched multiple versions of headsets and glasses, but broad consumer acceptance has remained elusive.
| 1,737,490,869
|
2025-01-21 20:21:09
|
s1n0d3utscht3k
| 0
| 27
| 0.49
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i6s804/meta_plans_oakleybranded_glasses_explores_watches/
|
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-21/meta-hardware-plans-oakley-and-ar-like-glasses-apple-watch-and-airpods-rivals
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1i2kyq6
|
Exclusive: Apple in talks with Barclays, Synchrony to replace Goldman in credit card deal
| null | 1,737,018,529
|
2025-01-16 09:08:49
|
SscorpionN08
| 33
| 10
| 0.84
|
News
|
/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i2kyq6/exclusive_apple_in_talks_with_barclays_synchrony/
|
https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-talks-with-barclays-synchrony-replace-goldman-credit-card-deal-sources-say-2025-01-15/
|
wallstreetbets
|
Apple
|
1kjjd0h
|
Is investing in stocks already heavily favored by ETFs smart? Furthermore, is 100% stock portfolios worth the risk?
|
I left a comment elsewhere which after posting it made me curious about making it a post. Forgive me if I spell something incorrectly, English is not my first language.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4590406
So I read this paper about 100% Stock portfolios after watching a YouTube video on it (multiple out there).
And I wondered how I’d go about choosing the stocks I’d invest in. I did so because just last year I didn’t touch stocks but when I went on my app on my iPhone (Stocks) and saw how much I could have made had I just invested in stocks that were already a big presence in almost all of my ETFs the. I’d have more value to my name.
To look at it I viewed an era that had large fluctuations in which I invested in which lead me to 2019 to 2024 because in-between that we had the fed-induced boom and the crash that came before that along with other crazy fluctuations.
So for my example I used march 2019 to March 2024 (which had steep decreases and increases):
1.MSFT: 250.92%
2.Apple: 248%
3.Meta: 176.44%
4.Googl: 149%
5.Amazon: 96.46%
1.QQQ: 140.45%
2.VTI: 84.34%
3.VOO: 81.39%
4.VT: 54.38%
Here is the Summary of percentages those sticks hold for each ETF:
1. QQQ: ~41.3%
2. VOO: ~22.2%
3. VTI: ~13.0%
4. VT: ~6.1%
It’s not like investing in Meta, Apple, Google, and Amazon is unheard of, they already make a huge part of all ETFs you come across that measure commonly used domestic indexes. So… is this the way? I truly want your critique on this because if it works it works and if not then it doesn’t, it’s not about proving I’m right it’s about maximizing my understanding of investing.
Edit: I think people misunderstood and I didn’t articulate it well either. IM NOT PREACHING FOR 100% stocks but I want your opinions on it! I want to see if maybe it IS the way. I want to grow my knowledge on the topic.
For transparency I’m (23 M) currently at 51k
60% ETFs / 40% Stocks.
| 1,746,908,399
|
2025-05-10 20:19:59
|
69philosopher
| 18
| 85
| 0.69
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kjjd0h/is_investing_in_stocks_already_heavily_favored_by/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kjjd0h/is_investing_in_stocks_already_heavily_favored_by/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kiowey
|
Too many ETFs? (26 years old)
|
Hello everyone,
In my Vanguard taxable brokerage account, I have a mixture of ETFs and long-term stocks, like Amazon and Apple. Lately, I’ve started buying more ETFs than individual stocks. However, after further research, I’m concerned that I might have too much diversification with the ETFs now. What do you think? Here are my current shares:
1 EPS
1 IWY
1 PPA
1 QQQ
1 QQQM
2 SHLD
2 SPLG
1 SPY
3 VOO
1 VTI
1 XAR
I don’t want to sell too much and end up with heavy tax penalties next year. For reference, I also have a Roth IRA with a VTI and VXUS mixture. Any advice would be greatly appreciated!
| 1,746,813,441
|
2025-05-09 17:57:21
|
cinemaquest1
| 17
| 24
| 0.68
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kiowey/too_many_etfs_26_years_old/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kiowey/too_many_etfs_26_years_old/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kiahs6
|
Have some $ but novice investor - VOO/VTI or Individual Stocks
|
As title states, new to all of this, and have $5-10k I want to invest. Of course, will keep adding to this monthly but this is what I’m starting with. Would it be smart to do all into VOO? Or VTI? Or individual stocks? I.e google, Apple, Amazon etc? I know everything with Trump has these individual company stocks pretty volatile - wish I bought in April, so joe just trying to see where best my cash (and continued contributions) would better serve. Any thoughts or comments? Thanks!
| 1,746,766,785
|
2025-05-09 04:59:45
|
Abject_Buyer_8980
| 9
| 28
| 0.85
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kiahs6/have_some_but_novice_investor_voovti_or/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kiahs6/have_some_but_novice_investor_voovti_or/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1khzc9d
|
Apple’s AI Search Ambitions Threaten Google’s $20 Billion Safari Deal
|
**Key Points:**
* **Apple is exploring AI-powered search alternatives**, including ChatGPT, Perplexity, and others — putting Google’s longtime dominance at risk.
* **Google paid Apple $20 billion in 2022** to remain the default search engine on Safari.
* **Alphabet stock dropped 7.3%** after Apple revealed it’s considering AI competitors — a $150 billion market cap loss in a single day.
* **The shift to AI search is bigger than a tech upgrade** — it could fundamentally change how we find and interact with information online.
* **Antitrust pressures and consumer behaviour** are aligning to end Google’s “default” era — and Apple may be quietly setting the stage.
[https://market.page/mag-7/apples-ai-search-ambitions-threaten-googles-20-billion-safari-deal-1746715266398808564](https://market.page/mag-7/apples-ai-search-ambitions-threaten-googles-20-billion-safari-deal-1746715266398808564)
| 1,746,733,632
|
2025-05-08 19:47:12
|
UnhappyBother1704
| 87
| 32
| 0.84
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1khzc9d/apples_ai_search_ambitions_threaten_googles_20/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1khzc9d/apples_ai_search_ambitions_threaten_googles_20/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1khov7v
|
Google rebuffs claims of search traffic declines
|
After the bloodbath yesterday, Google released a statement about query growth. It's very short so here's the text below. Interesting to see a direct response after hearing the soundbite from the trial from Apple's head of services.
"We continue to see overall query growth in Search. That includes an increase in total queries coming from Apple’s devices and platforms. More generally, as we enhance Search with new features, people are seeing that Google Search is more useful for more of their queries — and they’re accessing it for new things and in new ways, whether from browsers or the Google app, using their voice or Google Lens. We’re excited to continue this innovation and look forward to sharing more at Google I/O."
https://blog.google/products/search/statement-press-reports-about-search-traffic/
| 1,746,707,327
|
2025-05-08 12:28:47
|
Sweeede
| 114
| 50
| 0.92
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1khov7v/google_rebuffs_claims_of_search_traffic_declines/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1khov7v/google_rebuffs_claims_of_search_traffic_declines/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kh2ypt
|
What stocks do people think are set to see the biggest gains when/if tariffs are lifted?
|
With the 2026 midterms on the horizon, I think Trump will face mounting pressure to lift tariffs—especially as economic and market narratives intensify. If that happens, which stocks or sectors do you think stand to benefit the most?
My guess is the following
Apple
Nike
Alibaba
| 1,746,638,347
|
2025-05-07 17:19:07
|
BennyL1986
| 25
| 48
| 0.67
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kh2ypt/what_stocks_do_people_think_are_set_to_see_the/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kh2ypt/what_stocks_do_people_think_are_set_to_see_the/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kh2185
|
GOOGLE stock presents buying opportunity imo.
|
Does anyone else think that the Google sell off today of 9% is really warranted on the news that apple is considering adding AI to Safari? I believe that these AI LLM’s are heading towards commoditization, so what real differentiating factor will Apples introduction of AI into safari really have in disrupting Google? Idk but I’m buying shares here.
| 1,746,636,130
|
2025-05-07 16:42:10
|
Ozzy_Invest
| 529
| 419
| 0.86
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kh2185/google_stock_presents_buying_opportunity_imo/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kh2185/google_stock_presents_buying_opportunity_imo/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kgoc16
|
Request for market news app/subscriptions
|
Today a buddy of mine noticed that after hours activity changed subsequent to news of Bessents upcoming Switzerland trip and China trade talks.
I missed it. It’s no where on my X feed and no where in my Apple News. I need something reliable that is up to date on the hour. Is there an app, website, or RSS you all recommend?
| 1,746,590,584
|
2025-05-07 04:03:04
|
Walkingepidural
| 3
| 11
| 0.71
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kgoc16/request_for_market_news_appsubscriptions/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kgoc16/request_for_market_news_appsubscriptions/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kg7a7u
|
Are we sleeping on the impact of the new EU tariffs on tech stocks?
|
I’ve been digging into the recent EU tariffs on U.S. tech imports announced last month (March 2025), and I’m wondering if the market is underreacting. The tariffs target hardware and software from big players like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, with rates as high as 15% on some components. The EU’s pushing it as a move to bolster local tech, but it feels like a direct shot at U.S. dominance.I know the narrative is that these companies are “too big to fail” and have global supply chains to cushion the blow, but hear me out:
* Higher costs could squeeze margins, especially for hardware-heavy firms like Apple.
* If the EU doubles down (like they did with GDPR), could we see a broader tech trade war? China’s already hinted at “reciprocal measures.”
* Smaller tech ETFs (thinking XSD or SOXX) might take a bigger hit than the FAANG-heavy ones.
Yet, I’m seeing barely any chatter about this. Are we all too focused on AI hype or the Fed’s rate cuts to notice? Or is this just a blip that’ll fizzle out? Curious what you all think—am I overthinking this, or is there a real risk to tech portfolios here?P.S. I’m long on QQQ but starting to question if I should hedge with some puts. Anyone else adjusting their positions?
| 1,746,545,123
|
2025-05-06 15:25:23
|
MythrilBalls
| 154
| 129
| 0.85
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kg7a7u/are_we_sleeping_on_the_impact_of_the_new_eu/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kg7a7u/are_we_sleeping_on_the_impact_of_the_new_eu/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kfs90c
|
Am I correct to assume (with the latest strong rebound) that the market isn't pricing in protracted tariffs, consumer pinch related to tariffs, nor supply chain interruptions to be forthcoming?
|
I've seen a handful point to pricing it in (Apple, $900MM although I'm not sure everyone saw that was for the single month of June... and Ford with their $1.5 BN projected hit) although seems the majority are holding guidance as-is or simply declining to provide guidance.
Given the consumer hasn't yet felt the pinch of tariffs working their way through the system cost-wise, nor have businesses and consumers fully felt whatever shock may (or may not) come from supply chain disruptions, I can't help but wonder if today's market has priced all of that risk in given the rapid rebound.
Context, I have another 5-10 until "retirement" so maybe my perspective is just different. Looking for thoughts from the group here, I am far from advanced but the question is nagging me.
| 1,746,493,641
|
2025-05-06 01:07:21
|
transuranic807
| 201
| 118
| 0.88
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kfs90c/am_i_correct_to_assume_with_the_latest_strong/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kfs90c/am_i_correct_to_assume_with_the_latest_strong/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kf0omv
|
Is Qcom still Considered a Good Hold??
|
Many people consider qcom as a strong buy because of its potential in the AI sector, however, I feel like they have been lagging behind AMD and other chip companies for a while now. One of Qcom's biggest customers is also Apple, and Apple is notorious for switching to in house components. If they switch to in house, then I don't see how qcom could compete at all in this super competitive sector.
| 1,746,411,051
|
2025-05-05 02:10:51
|
Fearless-Cellist-245
| 7
| 4
| 0.69
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kf0omv/is_qcom_still_considered_a_good_hold/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kf0omv/is_qcom_still_considered_a_good_hold/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kd5cyo
|
Selling advice for different investment
|
My wife recently was promoted to equity partner at a firm and we need to buy her equity. The buy-in is substantial, and all of our money is invested. Looking at my spaghetti monster portfolio, I have a lot of duplicity that I plan to alleviate but would you sell stuff with solid returns for a long time (apple and brkb for example) or the more recent stuff? Trying to balance future gains vs. tax
| 1,746,203,540
|
2025-05-02 16:32:20
|
shazamshazizzle
| 0
| 7
| 0.5
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kd5cyo/selling_advice_for_different_investment/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kd5cyo/selling_advice_for_different_investment/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1kcjn05
|
What's the best investment you've ever made?
|
Hi guys! I'm curious what the best investments of your life have been. Maybe you bought into Nvidia or Apple early, maybe you bought bitcoin back when everyone thought it was a scam, maybe you bought a house right after 2008.
How have your investments changed your life? Were you able to pay off student loans? Afford a down payment?
For me, I bought 20 shares of Nvidia in 2020 during the pandemic. Nothing super crazy, but looking back it was a good call.
I'd love to hear about success stories, please share! : )
| 1,746,133,538
|
2025-05-01 21:05:38
|
binchybb
| 136
| 422
| 0.9
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1kcjn05/whats_the_best_investment_youve_ever_made/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1kcjn05/whats_the_best_investment_youve_ever_made/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1ka2ogf
|
Luck, Skill and You: A Comprehensive Guide
|
I'll be brief but I feel that someone may need to understand how the markets tend to work and what exactly constitutes luck and skill. The line is often said to be thin but I find it to be terribly thick and tragically obvious who is getting lucky and who is actually a skilled person in the markets with most people obviously being closer to lucky than skilled. Most individuals focus on the wrong things when it comes to defining the luck vs skill paradigm so I will offer my insight as opinion into what differentiates the two.
What is Luck?
So let's define luck as two things. First, when one receives a reward that is disproportionate to the expected returns given one's position, and the second when one receives a reward that is detached from the efforts they've made. The first portion is important because it references individual's analytical abilities being completely insufficient in most cases for the returns they receive. The second portion is important because it references the rewards one receives from the collective efforts of others that are not truly attributable to oneself.
Focusing on the first portion this is when someone tells you that they've done their due diligence but they do not work in the industry, do not have any insight into the sector, have a very limited background in any form of formal analysis and generally speaking their case (no matter how convincing) is usually flimsy upon digging into it for any meaningful amount of time. In many cases these analyses are verbose, point to irrelevant data, try to expand on hype and even go so far as to not give practical application to the product of the company and render the entire analysis purely speculative defeating the point of the analysis itself. What makes this particular version of luck pernicious is that you can be right at random and mistake judging the outcome for attribution to your insights.
The fact that people still rely heavily on the ends justifying the means in investing suggests that humans are not very good at it. The reality is that when someone wants to manage their own portfolio in general their complicating elements tend to not reap any results; it isn't the fact that they did any form of research or analysis but instead purely the fact that some other market force completely unbeknownst to them was in action. Nvidia for instance is a really strong example where the CUDA model is older than some of the people here and LLMs are way older but the meeting between the CUDA and the LLM and the launch of OpenAI created the maelstrom that put these technologies on the map for the general populace.
The second portion is when one receives a reward that is detached from the effort put in. In markets this is simply positive drift. Now the completely unaware, zero education investor can make money in the market by simply taking on two points of action, neither of which require any in-depth research.
Buy an index fund.
Wait.
But why do those work? Well, markets tend to drift upwards on the whole as economies grow so waiting simply means letting the market on the whole increase in value due to the increase in economic outputs. Great! And why does indexing work? Well, most people say "Diversification!", and that's ... wrong. That's not why. While diversification does enter the fray it's actually because of the force behind the index fund, professionals, and those people *do* have the expertise to choose investments well and generally produce positive investments via their opportunities that are not available to the public in general anyway. That's right, the SP500 has a committee that chooses the portfolio so your SPY index which you call passive is indeed "actively managed". There's no such thing as truly passive investing but that's the point of this segment: You don't have to know that at all to benefit 100% from market drift and indexing.
So what makes the index and wait method luck is that it's just betting things don't break. In many cases, for many lifetimes, that's worked. At times things do break but it's rare and often short-lived and easily seen through. The entire premise of this outcome is that by simply "staying the course" one reaps without actually doing anything. And for most people this is the way to go because not only does it not contain "fake analysis" but it also embraces the general reality that no matter what a person puts in, even at the billionaire level, they are but a rounding error in the greater economy.
What is skill?
Skill is defined as three things in my opinion. First, the ability to ascertain accurately the information given and apply it meaningfully, second, analytical ability based in training with emphasis on being able to manage signal versus noise, and finally an appreciation for luck.
Starting with the appreciation for luck most traders that are good realize they are bad. While that sounds contradictory they are aware of the limitations of their analyses and also aware that their entire position is based on current information and that information is bound to change and therefore their predictive power is extremely limited. They are not convinced of their correctness, thinking in probabilistic terms, often noting that their insights are genuine but also transient. They have an appreciation for the fact that the world is turbulent that I find that amateurs do not; they do not mistake the ends for the means at all and openly admit that their predictions are just that, predictions, whereas amateurs think that their predictions are closer to descriptions.
The ability to ascertain data accurately and apply it is just not inborn to humans. You need training. So the first and second are often combined but in rare instances the first can exist without the second and in cases where a person is an insider the first doesn't require the second; if you know for a fact that Apple has slowed in development of new technologies and is reliant entirely on current products with no major updates in the future planned then you have information that is very useful. This doesn't indicate however that even with the information you will apply it correctly. You may decide inaccurately that this sounds bad for the company and will result in a lowered future earning power but perhaps it just doesn't because that's what Apple does, no one is looking for a new thing from them really, and everyone is using the product as a status symbol making the functionality completely irrelevant thus misreading the room.
The formal training is invaluable. There's not much else to it. If you don't have any form of analytical training that is at least at the graduate level your analyses, again no matter how right you end up being, are probably flimsy trash. You just won't know it. And that's okay; we shuffle that under luck masked as skill.
Hopefully I kept it simple enough because there's a lot to unpack but basically,
TL;DR:
**You don't have to know what you're doing to win this game. Do not convince yourself that you do know something just because you won the game.**
| 1,745,864,623
|
2025-04-28 18:23:43
|
Organic_Morning_5051
| 0
| 25
| 0.41
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1ka2ogf/luck_skill_and_you_a_comprehensive_guide/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1ka2ogf/luck_skill_and_you_a_comprehensive_guide/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1k8hrjf
|
How to Diversify My Robinhood Portfolio
|
With the U.S. possibly headed to a bear market in the near future, I’d like to diversify away from just the U.S. market. More focused on preserving existing value right now than growth per se. For ethical reasons, I don’t want to touch pharmaceuticals, fossil fuels or weapons/defense contractors.
Stocks:
- American Airlines (AAL): 4.46 shares, $45.47 [1.66%]
- Apple (AAPL): 1.59 shares, $331.48 [12.15%]
- Ally Bank (ALLY): $1.03 shares, $33.89 [1.24%]
- American Express (AXP): 0.23 shares, $62.62 [2.30%]
- Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC): 0.59 shares, $16.68 [0.61%]
- Dutch Bros (BROS): 2.03 shares: $129.59 [4.75%]
- Chipotle (CMG): 0.28 shares, $19.93 [1.34%]
- Capital One (COF): 0.19 shares, $36.47 [1.34%]
- Costco (COST): 0.86 shares, $841.29 [30.84%]
- Disney (DIS): 0.77 shares, $71.20 [2.61%]
- Kroger (KR): 1.51 shares, $104.63 [3.84%]
- Netflix (NFLX): 0.01 shares, $20.37 [0.75%]
- Nike (NKE): 1.40 shares, $80.84 [2.96%]
- Target (TGT): 1.21 shares, $117.20 [4.30%]
- Texas Instruments (TXN): 0.18 shares, $30.23 [1.11%]
- Visa (V): 0.42 shares, $143.30 [5.25%]
- Waste Management (WM): 0.15 shares, $36.51 [1.34%]
ETFs
- iShares MSCI Singapore Capped ETF (EWS): 1.69 shares, $41.46 [1.52%]
- SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM): 6.15 shares, $403.62 [14.80%]
- iShares Europe ETF (IEV): 0.33 shares, $20.11 [0.74%]
- GlobalX Uranium ETF (URA): 1.02 shares, $25.15 [0.92%]
- Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO): 0.21 shares, $108.08 [3.96%]
- Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS): 0.11 shares, $7.47 [0.27%]
Uninvested Cash: $13.00
Total Value: $2740.49
| 1,745,687,059
|
2025-04-26 17:04:19
|
TheArchivis
| 1
| 4
| 0.54
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1k8hrjf/how_to_diversify_my_robinhood_portfolio/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1k8hrjf/how_to_diversify_my_robinhood_portfolio/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jzg79k
|
Why Moats Matter (Even More Than Earnings Sometimes)
|
**What’s a “Moat” in Investing?**
A **moat** is a company’s edge — something that protects it from competitors.
# Common Moats:
* **Brand** – People pay for the name (Apple, Nike).
* **Network Effect** – More users = more value (Visa, Meta).
* **Switching Costs** – Too hard to leave (Microsoft, banks).
* **Cost Advantage** – They can undercut everyone (Walmart).
* **Patents/IP** – Legally protected ideas (pharma, tech).
# Why It Matters:
Moats = pricing power, steady profits, and long-term compounding.
It’s what Warren Buffett looks for — companies that quietly win.
| 1,744,681,984
|
2025-04-15 01:53:04
|
IntelligentCut4060
| 6
| 0
| 0.67
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jzg79k/why_moats_matter_even_more_than_earnings_sometimes/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jzg79k/why_moats_matter_even_more_than_earnings_sometimes/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jy77kt
|
Do stock markets have an obsession with future growth?
|
*"In July 2010, Microsoft announced record fourth-quarter revenue of more than $16 billion. Quarterly earnings totaled $4.5 billion - a third again as much as Apple, more than twice as much as Google. Yet the company's stock price remained flat, as it has for years. With a price-to-earnings ratio of around 12, it traded at a lower valuation than General Mills or Proctor and Gamble. No matter how much money Microsoft mints, Wall Street has declined to price in any future growth beyond the Windows 7 upgrade cycle"\**
In the book from which this was extracted, Paul Allen (RIP), co-founder of Microsoft, comes across as a very nice, genuine, and cool guy. This is one of the few paragraphs in his book where there is a tiny hint of bitterness (quite understandable) toward the stock market.
It's amazing that \[at the time of writing\] Microsoft would have still been the de facto operating system and office productivity software provider for most of the world's governments and multinationals.
Would I be right in saying that a company's "future growth" is one of the most weighted factors in determining stock price? Or, to put it another way, do stock markets like Wall Street have an obsession with future growth?
*(\*extracted from* Paul Allen Idea Man: A memoir by the co-founder of Microsoft *2011* paperback ed *pp181)*
| 1,744,549,583
|
2025-04-13 13:06:23
|
baghdadcafe
| 1
| 19
| 0.52
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jy77kt/do_stock_markets_have_an_obsession_with_future/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jy77kt/do_stock_markets_have_an_obsession_with_future/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jxme0b
|
Do the 145% tariffs on China even matter anymore?
|
The only stuff that really matters for goods imported from China is electronics, and now electronics is exempt from tariffs, so Trump basically caved in and removed tariffs entirely. All the big tech companies like Apple and Nvidia are going to be back where they were like this, it's a joke.
| 1,744,478,419
|
2025-04-12 17:20:19
|
Designer_Doubt_444
| 0
| 74
| 0.46
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jxme0b/do_the_145_tariffs_on_china_even_matter_anymore/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jxme0b/do_the_145_tariffs_on_china_even_matter_anymore/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jve7o1
|
🎭 "Tariff Theater": Why the 7% Rally Is a Mirage, Not a Market Rebound
|
The recent 7% rally in equities, coinciding with the Trump administration’s decision to roll back certain tariffs to 10%, has been interpreted by some as the beginning of a broader policy shift. In reality, the fundamental landscape remains unchanged. If anything, the superficial nature of the rollback only highlights the extent to which markets have latched onto optics in the absence of substantive improvement. This rally in equities has not been mirrored by the bond market.
The core dynamics of U.S. trade remain adversarial. China, the United States' largest goods supplier, continues to face high and sustained tariff exposure. The aggregate effective rate, factoring in prior rounds of reciprocal escalation, remains above 100% in several key categories. The European Union has not softened its stance, and in many areas, has reinforced its commitment to retaliatory measures. These are not temporary frictions; they are structural conflicts driven by divergent regulatory philosophies and increasingly protectionist trade regimes.
The administration’s trade team has pointed to limited agreements with smaller economies as signs of progress. But these are largely symbolic, wins on paper that have little bearing on global supply chains or multinational corporate strategy. For firms with cross-border exposure, especially in manufacturing, technology, and retail, the operating environment remains materially constrained. Cost structures have not normalized, logistics remain fragile, and geopolitical uncertainty continues to inhibit capital deployment.
Multinational firms, Apple being a key example, have not seen operational relief. Their upstream suppliers are still entangled in the broader tariff gridlock, and downstream demand remains vulnerable to price transmission effects. Margins are thinning, and strategic flexibility is diminishing as firms are forced to hedge against policy volatility rather than invest into expansion.
Beneath the surface, core macroeconomic indicators point to a deteriorating environment. Unemployment, while still moderate by historical standards, is trending upward. Real wage growth has stalled. Inflation, particularly in services and shelter, remains persistently elevated, even as headline CPI shows deceleration. Consumer credit delinquencies are rising. These are not the foundations of a sustainable recovery.
The current rally in equities is not being underwritten by earnings strength. On the contrary, forward guidance across several sectors has been revised downward, and earnings compression is visible in both nominal and real terms. What we are seeing in markets is not confidence, it is positioning. With liquidity abundant and volatility elevated, capital is rotating into risk on technicals, not fundamentals.
To complicate matters further, market behavior is beginning to resemble that of the late 1980s. Volatility is no longer episodic, it is persistent. The Federal Reserve’s posture remains hawkish, and the long end of the yield curve continues to rise, undermining equity valuations and tightening financial conditions in the real economy. At the same time, geopolitical dislocation is contributing to a growing perception that U.S. assets, once the global default for safe and productive capital, are no longer as insulated as they once were.
Foreign capital inflows are beginning to waver, and the strength of the dollar, long a source of stability, is now a headwind for export competitiveness. In this context, the idea that a marginal tariff adjustment constitutes a policy breakthrough is difficult to justify. If anything, it highlights how thin the narrative support for this rally truly is.
Until there is a credible de-escalation of trade tensions with China and the EU, a normalization of inflation and labor market conditions, and a return to earnings-led equity performance, the market remains structurally fragile. The recent rally is not a signal of recovery. It is a speculative drift, driven by hope, not data.
Investors would do well to treat it accordingly.
| 1,744,226,250
|
2025-04-09 19:17:30
|
KriosDaNarwal
| 378
| 124
| 0.84
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jve7o1/tariff_theater_why_the_7_rally_is_a_mirage_not_a/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jve7o1/tariff_theater_why_the_7_rally_is_a_mirage_not_a/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jv82t6
|
Current stock market outlook and what to do?
|
I'm 21, I know very little about investing or the stock market, and have never invested before, but from everything I've seen and read over the past couple days or weeks, now seems to be a pretty good time to invest into some stocks while everything is at a lower price then what it was before
I have about 1-2k that I could invest which yeah people might laugh at that cause maybe its not a lot but its just what I have and what I can do, and I would be ok with investing it knowing that the stocks potentially go even lower, knowing eventually it will hopefully recover but I figure might as well do it now instead of waiting trying to time the market and losing out on the "sale". I figure I could buy a bit of Apple, NVidia, Meta, Google stuff like that that's generally pretty safe but is on sale, am I right about that, or the S&P500.
So a couple questions I have:
1. What platform or app should I use to buy stocks, is robinhood good? Some of my friends use it, if not what to use
2. Lets say I have 2k to invest should I do it separately over 2 weeks, or over 2 months, or $500 a week, or all at once?
3. Is there any measure I need to take when buying a stock, do I just buy it and its there in the platform until the day I take it out?
4. Best things to invest in, or from your experiance best thing to invest in? As I mentioned above those are kind of the stocks I figure id try and get a couple of
5. Any other general advice you can give id appreciate, again not trying to do to much or go all in on stocks but I figured again I have some extra money id rather invest while the market is down then just have it be sitting doing nothing
Thank you in advance
| 1,744,211,298
|
2025-04-09 15:08:18
|
_questionare_
| 0
| 2
| 0.5
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jv82t6/current_stock_market_outlook_and_what_to_do/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jv82t6/current_stock_market_outlook_and_what_to_do/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jv33c3
|
If the administration decides to redirect more and more economic profits to the government, then how low can valuations go?
|
It's hard to say where the lower bound for the value of American companies is now. Is it zero?
Usually one could estimate the absolute minimum of future earnings.
But the current administration seems to be set on redirecting those earnings away from investors towards the government. And I don't see what could limit the extent to which they do so.
The companies will continue to produce valuable stuff. But will they make a profit? Is an Apple that gives billions of dollars to investors (many of them abroad) better for Trump than an Apple that gives those billions of dollars to the government which he controls?
Tariffs are one way to redirect those profits. With their margins of over 30%, Apple can probably keep selling hardware at the same price, even when they have to spend more on the components. Everything might stay the same, except what previously was profit might now go to the government via tariffs or other means. Making US companies worthless to investors.
| 1,744,196,795
|
2025-04-09 11:06:35
|
ArtTimeInvestor
| 0
| 10
| 0.5
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jv33c3/if_the_administration_decides_to_redirect_more/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jv33c3/if_the_administration_decides_to_redirect_more/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jtru4r
|
IBKR Lite vs Robinhood trading data
|
Please excuse me for being such a novice and redirect if this is not the right thread. I have some questions about trading data specifically in extended hours or overnight and live trading data generally. Based on a recent experience I had, IBKR lite is not the way to go if you are looking to trade outside of market hours **in a world where Robhinhood exists for free.\*\*** I did not realize that their data is not live overnight, nor is Apple stock data/Tickertech. Unfortunately I did not realize this and purchased AAPL at $188.xx, what it had ended at on Friday and said it was trading at on IBKR lite and Tickertech/Apple stocks. I happened to go over to Robinhood where I had deposited some funds to trade overnight and went to purchase another share of AAPL where I found it was trading at $178.xx. \*cringe\* Where does RH source their live data and where do I get more of this info if I want to move away from Robinhood in the future? Is overnight/after hours live trading data standardized (ie there's one source) or does it vary depending on the quality of the data? Ideally I'd like to get this for free. I understand that certain more complicated sources of live market data would have a cost associated. Thank you!
**\*\*Edit: clarification**
| 1,744,049,008
|
2025-04-07 18:03:28
|
Problem-Glittering43
| 0
| 0
| 0.5
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jtru4r/ibkr_lite_vs_robinhood_trading_data/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jtru4r/ibkr_lite_vs_robinhood_trading_data/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jsub86
|
Kevin Hassett on George Stephanopoulos
| ERROR: type should be string, got "https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/white-house-nec-director-kevin-hassett-sen-cory/story?id=120499613\n\nKevin Hassett, Director of the National Economic Council, just now gave George Stephanopoulos an example illustrating how tariffs could benefit consumers:\n\nKevin’s example:\n\n• A small business (SMB) sells 100 apples at $1 per apple.\n\n• Then, a 10% tariff is introduced.\n\n• If the supplier raises prices, consumers purchase 10% fewer apples.\n\n• Kevin explained, “So what is the small business going to do with these 10 apples? They don’t want to eat them, so they’ll lower the price.”\n\nImplication:\n\nThe Trump administration expects the real burden of tariffs to fall on the small businesses themselves.\n\nUnspoken consequence:\n\nWhat Kevin Hassett did not mention is that the small business may go bankrupt, resulting in all of its employees being laid off.\n\nThese people are idiots..\n"
| 1,743,946,685
|
2025-04-06 13:38:05
|
DC_cyber
| 206
| 80
| 0.94
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jsub86/kevin_hassett_on_george_stephanopoulos/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jsub86/kevin_hassett_on_george_stephanopoulos/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jrjka8
|
How to know when to invest in dips?
|
I am by no means an actual investor but since all the stocks are dropping I thought it would be a good time to invest, I’m thinking about investing in apple stocks (19.09% drop in past month) but I don’t know when the right time is? Should I wait for it to go down a bit more or play it safe and invest now?
| 1,743,792,790
|
2025-04-04 18:53:10
|
NervousUpstairs3879
| 4
| 47
| 0.7
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jrjka8/how_to_know_when_to_invest_in_dips/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jrjka8/how_to_know_when_to_invest_in_dips/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jr9zng
|
China retaliates with 34% tariffs on all US products
|
At the time of writing this Dow futures are losing 1400 points. Apple is down another 4.77% pre-market to $194, as it has 90% of iPhones assembled in China.
S&P 500 futures are down 3.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures down 4%. Us 10 yr at 3.905%. Vix volatility index spikes to 42.82, highest level since Covid
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/03/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
It is going to be an interesting day.
| 1,743,767,579
|
2025-04-04 11:52:59
|
ExtentFuture4133
| 2,726
| 679
| 0.98
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jr9zng/china_retaliates_with_34_tariffs_on_all_us/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jr9zng/china_retaliates_with_34_tariffs_on_all_us/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jqqqlv
|
Visa. Should I hold or sell?
|
So i saw that visa is trying to take over Mastercards operations with Apple card and planned to wait to see if they get it as itll most likely be a great boost to their stock price, then when it gets high enough unplanned on selling my shares and reinvest in other stocks. But the recent announcement of the tariffs has caused the price to plummet quite a bit so I'm concerned that even if they do get the deal, it continue to drop.
So I thought i should ask, do yall think I should hold, wait and see if they get the deal with apple, then sell. Or should I just be safe and sell now.
I appreciate any answers given.
| 1,743,706,267
|
2025-04-03 18:51:07
|
Flamingstar7567
| 0
| 3
| 0.25
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jqqqlv/visa_should_i_hold_or_sell/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jqqqlv/visa_should_i_hold_or_sell/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jqjirh
|
SP500 sinks 4% after Trump's liberation day tariffs, China vows to retaliate on Trump's 54% tariffs, stoking investor fears of a global trade war and recession
|
It's been noted that the US retaliatory tariffs are not based on other country's tariffs, but rather the import/export trade deficit that the US has with said countries
SP500 is down 4% with consumer tech (Apple), apparel and clothing (Nike and Lululemon), and retail (Dollar General and Walmart) that source many products and parts from China down / hit the hardest
China and other countries are vowing to retaliate with their own tariffs against the US sparking fears of a global trade war and recession.
Noting the last time the US enacted sweeping tariffs through the Smoot-Harwley Tariff Act (which had lower average tariff amounts than those announced yesterday), it lead to a global trade war, reducing imports/exports, failed to bring back manufacturing jobs to the US, and caused the Great Depression. Will history repeat itself?
[https://www.ft.com/content/f820e191-348c-4298-b15f-49600be843ce](https://www.ft.com/content/f820e191-348c-4298-b15f-49600be843ce)
[https://www.china-briefing.com/news/trump-raises-tariffs-on-china-to-54-overview-and-trade-implications/](https://www.china-briefing.com/news/trump-raises-tariffs-on-china-to-54-overview-and-trade-implications/)
| 1,743,689,576
|
2025-04-03 14:12:56
|
Mountain-Taro-123
| 2,634
| 582
| 0.98
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jqjirh/sp500_sinks_4_after_trumps_liberation_day_tariffs/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jqjirh/sp500_sinks_4_after_trumps_liberation_day_tariffs/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jqj6l5
|
How can you pass up DCA into AAPL?
|
So, at the 207, how can this ultimately be a bad way to go. Will it really dip well under $200? And if so, then buy more. This will certainly pass, and when it does, how do you justify not buying into this dip? What are some of the other reasons that you would stay away from Apple? They seem to be too smart of a company to not be able to weather this storm. If this is not the time, then when? Thoughts?
| 1,743,688,785
|
2025-04-03 13:59:45
|
MCK40
| 0
| 26
| 0.35
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jqj6l5/how_can_you_pass_up_dca_into_aapl/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jqj6l5/how_can_you_pass_up_dca_into_aapl/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jqecr7
|
Can someone explain this for me?
|
According to the internet and people that commented in my prior post, the market capitalisation of a company stays the same after buy back of shares i.e, the share price rises sharply to match the increase in EPS.
If that is the case, then it seems like a free way to earn money. Let’s say apple is buying back half of its outstanding shares with its free reserve. I have 100 shares of AAPL which I bought yesterday for 100 dollars totally(1$ per share). I sell 50 of those 100 shares and get 50$ as compensation and hold the remaining 50 shares.
Now, since there are only half the outstanding shares as before the EPS doubles. Since it has doubled, the price doubles too to match the PE ratio as before(Assuming the forecast of the company future cashflows with or without the free reserve stays the same). In such case, my remaining 50 shares are now worth 100$. Upon selling I finally have 150$ in my account.
Does the existence of such loophole mean, the EPS rising as a result of buybacks dont have a say in the future price of the stock and that market capitalisation decreases after stock buyback?
| 1,743,674,159
|
2025-04-03 09:55:59
|
abhinav4703
| 0
| 12
| 0.46
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jqecr7/can_someone_explain_this_for_me/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jqecr7/can_someone_explain_this_for_me/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jmr0ou
|
Should I keep SCHD in my portfolio?
|
In my early 20’s. I heard it’s better to focus on market gains as opposed reinvesting dividends, is that generally true?
Roth IRA
* FXIAX : 40%
* QQQM : 45%
* SCHD : 15%
Basic account
* Tesla: (20%)
* Apple: (10%)
* Google: (15%)
* Nvidia: (20%)
* Microsoft: 20%)
* Amazon: (15%)
| 1,743,268,172
|
2025-03-29 17:09:32
|
Popster962
| 8
| 83
| 0.6
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jmr0ou/should_i_keep_schd_in_my_portfolio/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jmr0ou/should_i_keep_schd_in_my_portfolio/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jkj67g
|
Which publicly listed companies are best positioned for 2050?
|
As investors, we’re always looking for companies that bring in innovation and visionary leadership.
Which companies do you believe are best positioned to thrive in 2050, and which leaders (CEOs) deserve more recognition for their long-term vision and strategy? Who will be the next Apple or Tesla?
| 1,743,014,461
|
2025-03-26 18:41:01
|
TheKajin
| 0
| 34
| 0.36
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jkj67g/which_publicly_listed_companies_are_best/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jkj67g/which_publicly_listed_companies_are_best/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jkj3ja
|
Is Dollar Cost Averaging into US Stocks a good investment strategy?
|
I currently put around 300$ bi-weekly into my investment account, and that goes into an all in one ETF.
I was thinking of adding another 200$ bi-weekly into some individual US Stocks, mainly Apple, Amazon, Costco, Visa, and Berkshire. I plan on doing that for at least 20-40 years.
I’m 25 years old and these are funds that I won’t need till I retire, and even then, I would be drawing very small amounts.
Is dollar cost averaging into individual stocks a good investment strategy?
| 1,743,014,277
|
2025-03-26 18:37:57
|
Gix-99
| 1
| 33
| 0.51
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jkj3ja/is_dollar_cost_averaging_into_us_stocks_a_good/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jkj3ja/is_dollar_cost_averaging_into_us_stocks_a_good/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jjrbft
|
Sector index fund or mutual recommendations outside of tech and financial?
|
Hi everyone right now I have the VFIAX admiral shares vanguard index and also have a portfolio with UBS consisting shares of Amazon, Apple, ITT Inc, Nvidia and United health. Have over 1500 shares of Apple alone. Trying to diversify so I thought about some other great index funds within other sectors than Tech and finance.
Any suggestions on some other great performing index funds or mutual funds in the areas of consumer, healthcare, industrials, communications, consumer defense, energy, real estate, basic material and utilities? Thanks so much!!
| 1,742,929,387
|
2025-03-25 19:03:07
|
TheMooseIsLoose2355
| 0
| 9
| 0.5
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jjrbft/sector_index_fund_or_mutual_recommendations/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jjrbft/sector_index_fund_or_mutual_recommendations/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
1jgp3q5
|
Why is trading stocks in America so much better than elsewhere in the world?
|
I live in Europe and have always dreamt of trading stocks since I discovered it on social media. I have to pay many different fees and more taxes on stocks like (Foreign exchange fees, broker fees, high taxes and even higher on dividends + unfriendly stock and investing country laws.) and it's very frustrating, especially if I want to buy US based stocks with dollars.
In my country there's no such thing as long term or short term capital gains tax. You pay 27% tax on around $9000 profits per year and 42% on above that which is ridiculous.
If the average person wants to build large amount of wealth safely and retire comfortably, investing in the US stock market is a great option and It's been more accessible to us Europeans recently and I'm very grateful for that.
Stocks arguably have been more known to the average American and accessible to them than elsewhere in the world, why?
Why is the US🇺🇲 so much more friendly and encouraging on trading and investing in stocks? Way more brokerage options with less fees, less taxation, great retirement- programs and laws on stocks and (401k, Roth IRA, long term capital gains tax = less taxes) no foreign exchange fees since the largest traded stocks are US based companies in the largest stock exchanges that use $ dollars. (Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Google, Amazon etc. in NYSE AND NASDAQ)
| 1,742,584,916
|
2025-03-21 19:21:56
|
WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWHW
| 0
| 36
| 0.42
| null |
/r/investing/comments/1jgp3q5/why_is_trading_stocks_in_america_so_much_better/
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1jgp3q5/why_is_trading_stocks_in_america_so_much_better/
|
investing
|
Apple
|
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.